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Maxain Morning Analysis 03/04/2024

EUR/USD

Trend Theme:EUR/USD holds higher ground below 1.0800, Eurozone inflation eyed.

Trend Review:EUR/USD is holding its recovery but remains below 1.0800 early Wednesday. The pair draws support from a broadly weaker US Dollar even as Germany’s inflation cooled down and markets stay unnerved ahead of the Eurozone HICP release, US ADP jobs data and Powell’s speech. 

Today Advise:Bearish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*1.0791 *1.0812 **1.0845 ***
1.0758Support*1.0736 *1.0703 **1.0682 ***

Weekly forecast

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USD/JPY

Trend Theme:Hovers around 151.50, almost flat amid intervention threats.

Trend Review:USD/JPY’s next move depends on the actions of the Fed, according to a BofA strategist. If the Fed cuts the USD/JPY could fall to 142; if not it could rally higher. Intervention is like “leaning against the wind” if the Fed decides not to cut, the market will press higher. 

Today Advise:Sideways

Key Levels:

PPResistance*151.75 *151.95 **152.09 ***
151.61Support*151.42 *151.27 **151.08 ***

Weekly forecast

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WTI

Trend Theme:The war is starting again! Oil prices continued to climb to fresh more than five-month highs on rising concerns about supply threats.

Trend Review:Oil prices closed higher on Tuesday as Ukraine’s attack on Russian energy facilities and escalating conflict in the Middle East pushed Brent above $89 a barrel for the first time since October.

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*85.54 *86.09 **87.16 ***
84.48Support*83.93 *82.86 **82.31 ***

Weekly forecast

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XAU/USD

Trend Theme:Gold hits new peak amid rising Middle East tensions, high US yields.

Trend Review:Gold price rises to new all-time highs of $2,288 early in Asian trading on Wednesday amid geopolitical risks and softer US Treasury bond yields. Economic data from the United States prompted investors a flight to safe-haven assets, sending the yellow metal higher.

Today Advise:Sideways

Key Levels:

PPResistance*2292.77 *2304.27 **2327.25 ***
2269.79Support*2258.29 *2235.31 **2223.81 ***

Weekly forecast

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