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Maxain Morning Analysis 02/08/2024

EUR/USD

Trend Theme:EUR/USD falls below key technical levels with US NFP in the barrel.

Trend Review:EUR/USD lost a foothold above key technical levels on Thursday, slumping below the 1.0800 handle after a miss in US Purchasing Managers Index figures sparked fresh fears of worsening economic data signaling the possibility of a hard landing scenario in the US economy.

Today Advise:Bearish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*1.07865 *1.07886 **1.07933 ***
1.07839Support*1.07818 *1.07792 **1.07745 ***

Weekly forecast

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USD/JPY

Trend Theme:Japanese Yen advances further due to hawkish sentiment surrounding BoJ.

Trend Review:The Japanese Yen is gaining ground following the BoJ’s unexpected hawkish policy announcements. Japan’s Ministry of Finance reported that officials spent ¥5.53 trillion ($36.8 billion) in July to stabilize the Yen. The US Dollar depreciated after the Fed maintained rates at 5.25%-5.50% on Wednesday.

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*149.278 *149.528 **149.941 ***
149.115Support*148.865 *148.702 **148.289 ***

Weekly forecast

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WTI

Trend Theme:US economic data dampened expectations for demand outlook, oil prices fell by more than $1, and OPEC+ maintained its oil policy unchanged.

Trend Review:Oil prices closed down more than $1 on Thursday as concerns about a wider Middle East crisis following the killing of a Hamas leader in Iran did not appear to affect global supply and investors refocused on demand issues. Oil prices were under pressure from a number of poor U.S. economic data, especially manufacturing data.

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*76.418 *76.496 **76.641 ***
76.351Support*76.273 *76.206 **76.061 ***

Weekly forecast

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XAU/USD

Trend Theme:Gold price slumps amid buoyant US Dollar after soft ISM PMI.

Trend Review:Gold price edges lower during the North American session after hitting a daily low and high of $2,430 and $2,462, respectively, amid a stronger US Dollar. The Greenback recovered after data showed that business activity in the manufacturing sector contracted, while US jobs data underscored the weak labor market. 

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*2447.11 *2447.83 **2449.49 ***
2446.17Support*2445.45 *2444.51 **2442.85 ***

Weekly forecast

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