{"id":24030,"date":"2026-06-30T06:12:32","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:12:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24030"},"modified":"2026-06-30T06:12:32","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:12:32","slug":"daily-commentary-421","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/daily-commentary-421-20260630\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD anjlok dengan Yen Jepang karena kemungkinan terpicunya *stop loss*"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gold keeps falling and refreshes seven-month lows below $3,950 early Tuesday.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>The US Dollar rebounds as USD\/JPY hits fresh 40-year highs; geopolitical woes loom.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Gold could test November 2025 lows near $3,930 as the Death Cross remains in play.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gold\u00a0is down nearly 1.50% so far in Tuesday\u2019s Asian trading, sitting at a fresh seven-month low as the key $3,950 psychological barrier gave way amid a renewed wave of selling.<\/p>\n<p>Gold\u2019s underlying bearish momentum regained traction early Tuesday, losing roughly $75 in a matter of a couple of hours.<\/p>\n<p>The sudden crash in the Japanese Yen (JPY) drove the USD\/JPY pair to its highest level since 1986, above the 162.00 threshold, potentially triggering automated stop-loss orders in Gold below the $4,000 level once again.<\/p>\n<p>The USD\/JPY upsurge injected fresh life into the US Dollar (USD), having extended its previous week\u2019s retreat on Monday amid expectations of a de-escalation in the renewed US-Iran tensions.<\/p>\n<p>The renewed uptick in the Greenback continues to weigh on non-yielding Gold, particularly amid increased bets on the US Federal Reserve\u2019s (Fed) interest rate hikes this year.<\/p>\n<p>Markets project three Fed rate hikes this year and are currently pricing in about a 63% chance of a September lift-off, according to the CME Group\u2019s FedWatch Tool.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, Gold traders remain on edge ahead of the expected US-Iran negotiations in Doha on Tuesday, even as Iran said on Monday that no meeting had been scheduled.<\/p>\n<p>Over the weekend, missiles fired from both sides challenged the interim ceasefire to end the four-month-old war.<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead, the USD\/JPY pair-driven USD price action will continue to influence Gold dynamics as traders await the US JOLTS Job Openings data and fresh US-Iran headlines.<\/p>\n<p>Further on Wednesday, the European Central Bank&#x27;s (ECB) annual forum in Sintra, Portugal, will be closely watched when the new Fed Chairman, Kevin Warsh, participates in a key policy panel.\u00a0 This follows a surprisingly hawkish debut from Warsh as the Fed Chair earlier in the month.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24031\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>In the daily chart, XAU\/USD trades at $3,962.98. The metal remains under clear bearish pressure, sitting below the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) at $4,213.52 as well as the 50-day, 100-day and 200-day SMAs clustered between roughly $4,440 and $4,660, which together suggest a firmly capped medium-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (14) at 32.22 hovers just above oversold territory, hinting that downside momentum is still dominant but could be nearing exhaustion.<\/p>\n<p>On the topside, initial resistance is located at the 21-day SMA at $4,213.52, ahead of the 50-day SMA at $4,437.66 and the 200-day SMA at $4,480.39, with the 100-day SMA at $4,662.90 marking a more distant barrier that reinforces the broader bearish structure. With no clear moving-average or structural supports visible below the current price in this dataset, any further decline would leave XAU\/USD searching for fresh demand levels, while only a sustained recovery above the 21-day SMA would start to ease immediate selling pressure.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold keeps falling and refreshes seven-month lows below $3,950 early Tuesday. The US Dollar rebounds as USD\/JPY hits fresh 40-year highs; geopolitical woes loom. Gold could test November 2025 lows near $3,930 as the Death Cross remains in play. Gold\u00a0is down nearly 1.50% so far in Tuesday\u2019s Asian trading, sitting at a fresh seven-month low &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/daily-commentary-421-20260630\/\" class=\"more-link\">Lanjutkan membaca<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD crashes with Japanese Yen as stops likely triggered&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24030","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24030"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24030\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24032,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24030\/revisions\/24032"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24030"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24030"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/id\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24030"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}