{"id":24304,"date":"2026-10-02T04:06:20","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T04:06:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24304"},"modified":"2026-10-02T04:06:20","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T04:06:20","slug":"daily-commentary-478","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/daily-commentary-478-20261002\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u975e\u8fb2\u696d\u90e8\u9580\u96c7\u7528\u7d71\u8a08\u306fXAU\/USD\u306e\u6b21\u306e\u5927\u304d\u306a\u52d5\u304d\u306e\u30ab\u30ae\u3092\u63e1\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>NFP\u306e\u91d1\u66dc\u65e5\u306e\u767a\u8868\u3067 $4,150\u4ed8\u8fd1\u307e\u3067\u623b\u308a\u3001\u4eca\u9031\u306e\u30ec\u30f3\u30b8\u5185\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u7c73\u56fd\u30c9\u30eb\u306f17\u30ab\u6708\u3076\u308a\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u306b\u9054\u3057\u3001\u9ad8\u3081\u306e\u56fd\u50b5\u5229\u56de\u308a\u304cFRB\u306e\u7de9\u548c\u7684\u306a\u518d\u8a55\u4fa1\u3092\u76f8\u6bba\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306f\u3001\u65e5\u8db3\u306e\u30de\u30a4\u30ca\u30b9RSI\u306e\u4e0b\u3067 $4,200\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308b\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u7dad\u6301\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4e00\u65b9\u3001 $4,100\u306f\u4f9d\u7136\u3068\u3057\u3066\u652f\u6301\u7dda\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6a5f\u80fd\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u91d1\u306f\u91d1\u66dc\u65e5\u306b\u30a2\u30b8\u30a2\u3067\u518d\u3073\u8d64\u5b57\u570f\u306b\u9665\u3063\u305f\u3002\u3053\u3053\u6570\u65e5\u9593\u3001 $4,200\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u56de\u5fa9\u3055\u305b\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306e\u6570\u56de\u306e\u8a66\u307f\u304c\u5931\u6557\u3057\u3066\u3044\u305f\u3002\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u3089\u306f\u4eca\u30019\u6708\u306e\u7c73\u975e\u8fb2\u696d\u90e8\u9580\u96c7\u7528\u8005\u7d71\u8a08\uff08NFP\uff09\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u306f10\u6708\u306eFRB\uff08\u9023\u90a6\u6e96\u5099\u5236\u5ea6\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\uff09\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u4e88\u60f3\u3092\u5927\u304d\u304f\u5de6\u53f3\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\uff08USD\uff09\u306e\u8a55\u4fa1\u3068\u91d1\u306e\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u52d5\u304d\u306b\u5927\u304d\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u91cd\u8981\u306a\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u52b4\u50cd\u5e02\u5834\u30ec\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306e\u524d\u5012\u3057\u3067\u3001\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306f\u3053\u30531\u9031\u9593\u306b $4,200\u304b\u3089 $4,100\u306e\u9593\u3067\u52d5\u304d\u56de\u308a\u3001\u5f31\u3081\u306e\u30b3\u30f3\u30d5\u30a3\u30ae\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u306e\u6bb5\u968e\u306b\u5165\u3063\u305f\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u4e0d\u5909\u306e\u91d1\u306f\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u50b5\u5229\u56de\u308a\u3092\u904e\u53bb\u6700\u9ad8\u306b\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u305f\u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u4e3b\u5c0e\u578b\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3068\u3001\u4eca\u6708\u518d\u3073\u91d1\u5229\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u3078\u306e\u671f\u5f85\u304c\u8584\u308c\u3064\u3064\u3042\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3001\u305d\u3057\u30662\u4eba\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u306aFRB\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u6848\u8005\u306e\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u7de9\u548c\u7684\u306a\u767a\u8a00\u3068\u306e\u9593\u3067\u63fa\u308c\u52d5\u3044\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7c73\u56fd\u306e10\u5e74\u56fd\u50b5\u306e\u57fa\u6e96\u91d1\u5229\u306f\u6728\u66dc\u65e5\u306b5.344% \u306b\u9054\u3057\u30012002\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u3068\u306a\u3063\u305f\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u30015.25%\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u53d6\u5f15\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u306a\u91d1\u5229\u4e0a\u6607\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u8cc7\u7523\u3078\u306e\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u306e\u78ba\u4fdd\u3078\u306e\u52d5\u304d\u3001\u30e6\u30fc\u30ed\uff08EUR\uff09\u306e\u5e45\u5e83\u306a\u5f31\u3055\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\uff08USD\uff09\u306f6\u3064\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u901a\u8ca8\u5bfe\u6bd4\u306717\u30ab\u6708\u3076\u308a\u306e\u9ad8\u5024\u306b\u9054\u3057\u3001\u7c73\u30c9\u30eb\u306b\u654f\u611f\u306a\u91d1\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u5fd7\u5411\u3092\u6291\u5236\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001CME Group\u306eFedWatch\u30c4\u30fc\u30eb\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u3067\u306f\u4eca\u6708\u5f8c\u534a\u306bFRB\u304c\u91d1\u5229\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u4e0a\u3052\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u306f\u308f\u305a\u304b25%\u306b\u3068\u3069\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u306f\u4eca\u9031\u521d\u6642\u70b9\u306e\u7d0470%\u304b\u3089\u5927\u5e45\u306b\u4f4e\u4e0b\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u7de9\u548c\u7684\u306aFRB\u306e\u518d\u8a55\u4fa1\u59ff\u52e2\u306f\u3001\u91d1\u304c\u4e0b\u843d\u3092\u6291\u3048\u308b\u52a9\u3051\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u3068\u306f\u3044\u3048\u3001\u91d1\u306e\u6b21\u306e\u660e\u78ba\u306a\u65b9\u5411\u6027\u3092\u793a\u3059\u52d5\u304d\u306f\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u7c73\u56fdNFP\u306e\u767a\u8868\u306b\u5de6\u53f3\u3055\u308c\u308b\u3002\u5e02\u5834\u3067\u306f\u30018\u6708\u306e162,000\u4eba\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u3092\u8a18\u9332\u3057\u305f\u5f8c\u306e9\u6708\u306eNFP\u306e\u7dcf\u8a08\u304c\u7d049\u4e07\u4eba\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u3068\u306a\u308b\u898b\u8fbc\u307f\u3060\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001NFP\u306e\u4e3b\u306a\u6570\u5024\u3060\u3051\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3059\u308b\u3060\u3051\u3067\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u306e\u96c7\u7528\u306a\u3069\u5b63\u7bc0\u7684\u306a\u8981\u56e0\u306b\u3088\u3063\u3066\u6570\u5024\u304c\u6b6a\u3081\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u30c8\u30ec\u30fc\u30c0\u30fc\u306f\u8aa4\u89e3\u3092\u62db\u304f\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305f\u3001\u6301\u7d9a\u7684\u306a\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u8e0f\u307e\u3048\u308b\u3068\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u6642\u7d66\u306f\u3001\u8cc3\u91d1\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u6025\u6fc0\u306b\u52a0\u901f\u3057\u305f\u304b\u920d\u5316\u3057\u305f\u304b\u306b\u304b\u304b\u308f\u3089\u305a\u3001\u6ce8\u76ee\u3092\u96c6\u3081\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3082\u3042\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u3057\u305f\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3001NFP\u767a\u8868\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u30b4\u30fc\u30eb\u30c9\u306e\u53d6\u5f15\u306b\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e2\u3064\u306e\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u306a\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306b\u6ce8\u76ee\u3055\u308c\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u3044\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305a\u3001\u5f31\u6c17\u6d3e\u306e\u898b\u65b9\u306f\u4ee5\u4e0b\u306e\u901a\u308a\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3082\u3057NFP\u304c10\u4e07\u4eba\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3001\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306f4.1% \u8fd1\u304f\u306b\u3042\u308a\u3001\u8cc3\u91d1\u306f0.3%\u4e0a\u6607\u307e\u305f\u306f\u305d\u308c\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5834\u5408\u3001\u5e02\u5834\u306f10\u6708\u306eFRB\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u3078\u306e\u671f\u5f85\u3092\u518d\u71c3\u3055\u305b\u3001\u91d1\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u4e0b\u62bc\u3057\u306b\u5bc4\u4e0e\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u8cb7\u3044\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\uff1a\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u3082\u3057\u7d66\u4e0e\u652f\u6255\u984d\u304c5\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308b\u5834\u5408\u3001\u5931\u696d\u7387\u306f4.2% \u306b\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u8cc3\u91d1\u6210\u9577\u306f\u920d\u5316\u3059\u308b\u3002\u3053\u306e\u5834\u5408\u300110\u6708\u306e\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u306f\u56de\u907f\u3055\u308c\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u30c9\u30eb\u3068\u91d1\u5229\u306b\u60aa\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u53ca\u307c\u3057\u3001\u91d1\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u5f15\u304d\u8d77\u3053\u3059\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24305\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>\u65e5\u8db3\u30c1\u30e3\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u306f\u3001XAU\/USD\u306f $4,172.49\u3067\u53d6\u5f15\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u300150\u65e5\u5358\u7d14\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\uff08SMA\uff09\u3067\u3042\u308b $4,327.30\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u308a\u3001100\u65e5SMA\u3067\u3042\u308b $4,279.39\u304a\u3088\u3073200\u65e5SMA\u3067\u3042\u308b $4,534.92\u3092\u4e0b\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6a19\u304c\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u4e0a\u65b9\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u3063\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304b\u3089\u3001\u91d1\u306f\u6700\u8fd1\u306e\u53cd\u767a\u306e\u5f8c\u3067\u5e95\u5805\u3044\u52d5\u304d\u3092\u898b\u305b\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3068\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001Relative Strength Index\uff0814\uff09\u304c40\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u63a8\u79fb\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u904e\u5ea6\u306a\u58f2\u308a\u304c\u6975\u7aef\u306a\u72b6\u6cc1\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u3080\u3057\u308d\u52e2\u3044\u306e\u920d\u5316\u3092\u793a\u5506\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u65b9\u3067\u3001\u76f4\u8fd1\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306f $4,172\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e\u904e\u53bb\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u306b\u3042\u308a\u3001\u3088\u308a\u610f\u5473\u306e\u3042\u308b\u69cb\u9020\u7684\u306a\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u306f $3,999\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e\u30a2\u30c3\u30d7\u30c8\u30ec\u30f3\u30c9\u30e9\u30a4\u30f3\u306e\u30b5\u30dd\u30fc\u30c8\u3067\u3042\u308b\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u3001\u4e0a\u65b9\u3067\u306f100\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e $4,279\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u306e\u521d\u671f\u62b5\u6297\u3001\u7d9a\u3044\u306650\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e $4,327\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u306e50\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u3001\u305d\u3057\u3066200\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u4ed8\u8fd1\u306e $4,535\u4ed8\u8fd1\u3067\u306e200\u65e5\u79fb\u52d5\u5e73\u5747\u7dda\u304c\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306e\u5f31\u6c17\u50be\u5411\u3092\u8986\u3044\u53bb\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u518d\u3073\u56de\u5fa9\u3059\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3088\u308a\u9ad8\u3044\u58c1\u3068\u306a\u308b\u3002.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold returns to red near $4,150 on NFP Friday, confined within this week\u2019s range. US Dollar sits at 17-month highs as elevated Treasury yields offset the Fed\u2019s dovish repricing. Gold keeps its struggle below $4,200 amid a daily bearish RSI, while $4,100 holds. Gold\u00a0has returned to the red zone in Asia on Friday after failing several attempts to regain $4,200. Traders now eagerly await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for September, which could significantly alter market expectations for an October Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike, having a major bearing on the US Dollar (USD) valuation and Gold\u2019s next major move. In the lead-up to the critical US labor &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/daily-commentary-478-20261002\/\" class=\"more-link\"><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;US Nonfarm Payrolls holds the key to XAU\/USD\u2019s next big move&#8221; \u306e<\/span>\u7d9a\u304d\u3092\u8aad\u3080<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24304","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24304"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24304\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24306,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24304\/revisions\/24306"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24304"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24304"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/ja\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24304"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}