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Maxain Morning Analysis 14/10/2024

EUR/USD

Trend Theme:EUR/USD falls toward 1.0900 due to dovish sentiment surrounding the ECB

Trend Review:

EUR/USD receives downward pressure as the ECB is widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut on Thursday.Rising Middle-East tensions put pressure on the risk-sensitive Euro.The US Dollar gains ground as the Fed is projected to slow the pace of borrowing cost reductions.

Today Advise:Bearish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*1.0952*1.0967**1.0980***
1.0939Support*1.0924*1.0911**1.0897***

Weekly forecast

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USD/JPY

Trend Theme:USD/JPY Price Forecast: Consolidates within the 148.00-149.50 range

Trend Review:

USD/JPY edges higher, trading within a range of 148.00-149.50 as US 10-year yields rise to 4.104%.Momentum favors buyers, with a break above 149.50, exposing the key 150.00 level and resistance at the 200/100-DMA confluence at 151.20/21.A drop below 149.00 could lead to a pullback toward the October 8 swing low of 147.35.

Today Advise:Sideways

Key Levels:

PPResistance*149.49*149.83**150.37***
148.95Support*148.61*148.06**147.72***

Weekly forecast

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WTI

Trend Theme:Gold trading reminder: PPI data strengthens expectations of rate cuts, will bulls regain their momentum? Beware of strong dollar suppression

Trend Review:

In the early Asian session on Monday (October 14), spot gold fluctuated and weakened, currently trading around $2,647.18 per ounce. Although the US inflation data consolidated the prospect of a rate cut next month, the US PPI data also suggested that the inflation outlook remained favorable, raising the Fed’s expectations for a rate cut in November. Gold prices rose by more than 1% on Friday, closing at $2,657.02 per ounce. At the same time, the safe-haven demand caused by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also boosted gold. However, the US dollar index continued to rebound and is currently holding near a two-month high, which has made gold bulls cautious.

Today Advise:Bearish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*75.58*76.23**77.03***
74.77Support*74.12*73.32**72.67***

Weekly forecast

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XAU/USD

Trend Theme:Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts lower to near $2,650, potential downside seems limited

Trend Review:

Gold price loses momentum to around $2,650 in Monday’s early Asian session. Weaker Chinese economic data undermine the Gold price. The US PPI report and Middle East geopolitical risks could support the yellow metal. 

Today Advise:Bearish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*2669.79*2682.29**2703.08***
2649.00Support*2636.50*2615.71**2603.21***

Weekly forecast

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