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Maxain Morning Analysis 12/07/2024

GBP/USD

Trend Theme:GBP/USD advances to fresh yearly high above 1.2900.

Trend Review:GBP/USD accelerates its gains and trades at its highest level since July 2023 above 1.2900. The US Dollar stays under heavy selling pressure following the softer-than-expected inflation readings for June, fuelling the pair’s rally.

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*1.29056 *1.29086 **1.29135 ***
1.29037Support*1.29007 *1.28988 **1.28939 ***

Weekly forecast

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USD/JPY

Trend Theme:USD/JPY stabilizes above 159.00,more intervention risks loom.

Trend Review:USD/JPY stabilizes above 159.00 in the Asian session on Friday after the overnight wild swings, fuelled by the dual rounds of Japanese FX intervention. A broad US Dollar recovery also adds to the renewed upside in the pair. Traders are on high alert amid looming risks of more intervention. 

Today Advise:Bearish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*159.552 *159.765 **160.391 ***
159.139Support*158.926 *158.513 **157.887 ***

Weekly forecast

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WTI

Trend Theme:U.S. inflation data brings hope for rate cuts, oil prices continue to rebound.

Trend Review:Oil prices rose for a second straight session on Thursday, with Brent crude closing above $85 a barrel, as hopes for a U.S. interest rate cut grew after data showed an unexpected slowdown in inflation. In addition, renewed concerns about geopolitical tensions also supported oil prices.

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*82.154 *82.208 **82.367 ***
82.049Support*81.995 *81.89 **81.731 ***

Weekly forecast

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XAU/USD

Trend Theme:Gold price pulls back from multi-week top, downside potential seems limited.

Trend Review:Gold price drifts lower and reverses a part of Thursday’s softer US CPI-inspired positive move. An uptick in the US bond yields revives the USD demand and exerts pressure on the XAU/USD. Rising September Fed rate cut bets should act as a tailwind for the metal and help limit losses.

Today Advise:Sideways

Key Levels:

PPResistance*2375.01 *2376.26 **2378.43 ***
2374.09Support*2372.84 *2371.92 **2369.75 ***

Weekly forecast

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