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Maxain Morning Analysis 06/08/2024

EUR/USD

Trend Theme:EUR/USD jumps but fails to grasp 1.10.

Trend Review:EUR/USD scrambled for higher ground on Monday, launching bids into 1.1000 before settling back into a familiar range near 1.0950 and failing to set a fresh high for 2024. Broad-market expectations for rate cuts from the Federal Reserve have run well ahead of the curve, with investors hoping for an initial double-cut from the Fed in September.

Today Advise:Bearish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*1.09535 *1.09573 **1.09661 ***
1.09485Support*1.09447 *1.09397 **1.09309 ***

Weekly forecast

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USD/CAD

Trend Theme:USD/CAD edges lower to near 1.3800 amid fears of looming US recession..

Trend Review:The USD/CAD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3805 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar bounces off the YTD lows near the 102.00 level and hovers around 102.60 amid fears of a US recession. 

Today Advise:Bearish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*149.278 *149.528 **149.941 ***
149.115Support*148.865 *148.702 **148.289 ***

Weekly forecast

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WTI

Trend Theme:Oil steadies decline despite US equity joining Monday selloff.

Trend Review:Oil prices slide lower for a third straight day in a severe correction. Libya’s biggest oil field halts production. The US Dollar Index trades sharply lower and enters a correction phase. 

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*73.875 *74.151 **74.575 ***
73.727Support*73.451 *73.303 *72.879 ***

Weekly forecast

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XAU/USD

Trend Theme:Gold consolidates around $2,400 amid a combination of diverging forces.

Trend Review:Gold price struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s goodish bounce from the 50-day SMA support and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Tuesday. Geopolitical risks and the prospects for bigger rate cuts from the Fed continue to support the non-yielding XAU/USD.

Today Advise:Neutral

Key Levels:

PPResistance*2415.96 *2419.62 **2425.34 ***
2413.9Support*2410.24 *2408.18 **2402.46 ***

Weekly forecast

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