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Maxain Morning Analysis 12/09/2024

EUR/USD

Trend Theme:EUR/USD edges lower after US CPI data, ECB’s decision looms

Trend Review:

EUR/USD dips after US Core CPI rises 0.3% MoM, reinforcing Fed rate cut expectations of 25 bps.ECB expected to cut rates by 25 bps this week amid slowing EU economic data and Germany’s inflation drop to 1.9% YoY.ECB’s post-September monetary policy decisions could become more complex as inflation components remain sticky.

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*1.1044*1.1076**1.1097***
1.1023Support*1.0991*1.0970**1.0938***

Weekly forecast

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GBP/USD

Trend Theme:GBP/USD down after US CPI figures and UK GDP data

Trend Review:

GBP/USD tallied another day of losses falling below 1.3050.US CPI came in mixed and markets reduced the odds of a 50 bps cut.Earlier in the session the UK reported weak GDP figures.

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*1.3102*1.3162**1.3212***
1.3052Support*1.2993*1.2943**1.2883***

Weekly forecast

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WTI

Trend Theme:Hurricane Francine caused offshore production suspension, oil prices rose by more than 2% against the trend, pay attention to the IEA monthly report

Trend Review:

International oil prices fluctuated in a narrow range, with U.S. crude oil currently trading around $67.50 per barrel. Oil prices climbed more than 2% on Wednesday, amid concerns that Hurricane Francine would cause a long-term shutdown of U.S. offshore oil production areas when it landed in Louisiana.

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*67.68*68.58**69.87***
66.39Support*65.50*64.21**63.31***

Weekly forecast

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XAU/USD

Trend Theme:Gold price stays resilient above $2,500 as inflation fears subside

Trend Review:

Gold retreats from a daily high of $2,529 after US inflation data boosts odds of a 25 bps Fed rate cut.Rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar weigh on the non-yielding metal with the 10-year T-note climbing to 3.655%.CME FedWatch Tool shows 71% chance of a 25 bps cut.

Today Advise:Bullish

Key Levels:

PPResistance*2526.91*2542.00**2554.92***
2513.99Support*2498.90*2485.98**2470.89***

Weekly forecast

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