{"id":22468,"date":"2024-11-22T06:06:47","date_gmt":"2024-11-22T06:06:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=22468"},"modified":"2024-11-22T06:06:47","modified_gmt":"2024-11-22T06:06:47","slug":"daily-commentary-126","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-126-20241122\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u7a7a\u5934\u4ecd\u5360\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u521b\u4e0b 1.0460 \u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002\u3002\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u5f3a\u52b2,\u5e76\u521b\u4e0b\u5e74\u521d\u81f3\u4eca\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"has-text-color wp-block-list\" style=\"color:#f40307\">\n<li><strong>PMI \u9884\u89c8\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u3002<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u5468\u56db\u9762\u4e34\u8270\u96be\u7684\u5904\u5883,\u5728\u629b\u552e\u538b\u529b\u52a0\u5267\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b,\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u96be\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u8fd1\u671f\u52bf\u5934\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u6c47\u4ef7\u627f\u53d7\u4e86\u989d\u5916\u7684\u4e0b\u884c\u538b\u529b,\u8dcc\u81f31.0460 \u533a\u57df,\u521b\u4e0b\u4eca\u5e74\u65b0\u4f4e\u3002\u6b27\u5143\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\u6070\u9022\u7f8e\u5143\u91cd\u65b0\u8d70\u5f3a,\u8fd9\u5f97\u76ca\u4e8e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u7f13\u89e3\u548c\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u201c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4ea4\u6613\u201d\u7684\u590d\u82cf\u3002\u7f8e\u5143\u6307\u6570\u98d9\u5347,\u521b\u4e0b\u5e74\u521d\u81f3\u4eca\u65b0\u9ad8107,15 \u5de6\u53f3, \u7f8e\u56fd\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5168\u9762\u53cd\u5f39\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>25 \u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9,\u5c06\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e3a4.75%-5.00%. B\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng. B\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng? 12 B\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.\u8c03\u964d\u606f\u9700\u8981\u8c28\u614e,\u800c\u7406\u4e8b\u5e93\u514b\u5219\u4e3b\u5f20\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5bbd\u677e,\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u901a\u80c0\u7ee7\u7eed\u5448\u4e0b\u964d\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>10 \u6708\u4efd\u5c06\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f3 3.25% \u540e, \u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u6682\u505c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8c03\u6574\u5229\u7387,\u7b49\u5f85\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u6570\u636e\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7,\u6f5c\u5728\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728,\u56e0\u4e3a\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u8c08\u5224\u540e\u7684\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u7387\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5347\u81f35.42%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765,\u5728\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u6267\u653f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b,\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u6216\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u54c1\u91cd\u65b0\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u91cd\u65b0\u5f15\u53d1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u82e5\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ef4\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u7acb\u573a\u6216\u8f6c\u4e3a\u9e70\u6d3e\u7acb\u573a\u9f8e\u5143\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u6da8,\u4ece\u800c\u4f7f\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u7ee7\u7eed\u627f\u538b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\"><strong>\u6b27\u5143\u6bcf\u65e5\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"481\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-81-1024x481.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-22469\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-81-1024x481.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-81-300x141.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-81-768x361.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-81-1536x722.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-81-18x8.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/image-81.png 1936w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ece\u6280\u672f\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b,\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u53ef\u80fd\u4f7f\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u8dcc\u81f3 2024 \u5e74\u4f4e\u70b9 1.0461,\u5176\u6b21\u662f 2023 \u5e74\u4f4e\u70b91.0448\u3002\u6b64\u5916,\u53ea\u8981\u6b27\u5143\/\u7f8e\u5143\u4fdd\u6301\u5728 200 \u65e5 SMA \u4ee5\u4e0b, \u77ed\u671f\u6280\u672f\u9762\u5c31\u770b\u8dcc. 1.0609, \u7136\u540e\u662f 1,0653 \u548c 1,0726\u3002\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d1f\u9762\u76ee\u6807\u662f 1,0461,\u7136\u540e\u662f 1.0448\u3002\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570\uff08RSI)\u964d\u81f341\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0a\u884c\u65b9\u9762,200 SMA 1,0860\u65e5)\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 EUR\/USD \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m; tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o gia t\u0103ng, c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng euro ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1, lao d\u1ed1c xu\u1ed1ng v\u00f9ng 1,0460 v\u00e0 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay. S\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng euro di\u1ec5n ra song song v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed3ng USD l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh,nh\u1edd v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb d\u1ecbu b\u1edbt v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1i g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cgiao d\u1ecbch Trump\u201d. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (DXY) t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u1edf kho\u1ea3ng 107,15, trong khi l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng. V\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n, \u0111\u1eb7t ph\u1ea1m vi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u1edf m\u1ee9c 4,75%\u20135,00%. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng\u666e\u904d k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c li\u00ean t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a Fed nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u1ea9y l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2%.Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c, nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Powell g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00f4ng v\u1ed9i v\u00e0ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp theo.\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi t\u1ea1o ra s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch. T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean \u1ee6y ban Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1edf Li\u00ean bang (FOMC) b\u00e0 Bowman c\u0169ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh c\u1ea7n th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, trong khi th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean \u1ee6y ban FOMC \u00f4ng Cook l\u1ea1i \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m. \u1ede b\u00ean kia \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) c\u0169ng \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng. Sau khi h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ec1n g\u1eedi xu\u1ed1ng 3,25% v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10, ECB \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng vi\u1ec7c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam, ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi s\u1eafp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1.Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, b\u1edfi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng sau \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n t\u1ea1i Khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 5,42% trong qu\u00fd III. Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00ean n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u00e1i \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1eeb ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ho\u1eb7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t l\u1ea1i r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9. N\u1ebfu C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) duy tr\u00ec l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng ho\u1eb7c chuy\u1ec3n sang l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 EUR\/USD. Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng euro T\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m ti\u1ebfp theo c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 EUR\/USD xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t n\u0103m 2024 l\u00e0 1,0461, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t n\u0103m 2023 l\u00e0 1,0448.Ngo\u00e0i ra, mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 c\u1eb7p EUR\/USD v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y (SMA), tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m. Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 4 gi\u1edd cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n. N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c,m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0 1.0609, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 1.0653 v\u00e0 1.0726. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u1ea3m ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 1.0461, sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 1.0448. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng kho\u1ea3ng 41. V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c 1.0860 t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp, cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 55 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u1edf m\u1ee9c 1.0899 v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t th\u00e1ng 11 l\u00e0 1.0936 (ng\u00e0y 6 th\u00e1ng 11).<\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22468"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22468\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22470,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22468\/revisions\/22470"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}