{"id":23750,"date":"2026-04-10T04:42:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T04:42:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23750"},"modified":"2026-04-10T04:42:33","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T04:42:33","slug":"daily-commentary-373","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-373-20260410\/","title":{"rendered":"Ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ch\u1ecbu t\u1eeb b\u1ecf khi CPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh M\u1ef9-Iran s\u1eafp di\u1ec5n ra"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gold remains in a familiar range early Friday as all eyes remain on the US CPI data and US-Iran peace talks. \u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The US Dollar finds its feet amid no Israel-Lebanon ceasefire-led and cautious optimism.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Gold recaptures the 21-day SMA on Thursday with a neutral RSI and an impending Bear Cross. \u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold remains at a crossroads in Friday\u2019s Asian trades, trying to find a clear direction as markets remain cautiously optimistic ahead of the US inflation report and the US-Iran peace negotiations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold buyers cheer the optimism heading into the peace talks between the US and Iran in Pakistan later on Friday, which is keeping the downside cushioned in the bullion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, sellers refuse to give up yet, as markets anticipate a surge in the US CPI for March, as the war impact on energy prices will likely be reflected, completely reshaping expectations around the US Fed interest rate outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The FOMC Minutes on Wednesday showed that the policymakers still expect the Fed to resume cutting rates later this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the data suggests any hints of a potential hawkish Fed pivot, the non-yielding Gold could come under intense selling pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, if markets ignore higher inflation readings as a one-off amid the Middle East crisis, that could downplay inflation concerns and retain bets for a Fed rate cut this year. This scenario could be the breakout trigger for Gold buyers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That being said, any reaction to the US inflation data could be limited or countered by the sentiment surrounding the US-Iran peace talks and its likely outcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the meantime, a lack of de-escalation in the Israel-Lebanon conflict keeps investors on edge and the haven bid for the US Dollar intact.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hence, Gold continues to trade with caution early Friday, with traders refraining from placing fresh directional bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\" id=\"h-daily-technical-analysis\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"364\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-4-1024x364.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23751\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-4-1024x364.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-4-300x107.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-4-768x273.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-4-18x6.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-4.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In the daily chart, XAU\/USD trades at $4,742.85, holding a neutral near\u2011term bias as spot consolidates between short- and medium-term trend signals. Price remains above the 21-day SMA at $4,692.08 and the 100-day SMA at $4,680.72, which together suggest underlying demand on dips, while staying capped beneath the 50-day SMA at $4,901.95 that limits topside follow-through. The 200-day SMA at $4,178.71 continues to underpin the broader bullish structure, and the Relative Strength Index (14) hovering around 49.2 reflects balanced momentum with neither buyers nor sellers in clear control.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, risks appear in favor of the downside as the 21-day SMA is looking to cross the 100-day SMA from above. If that is materialized on a daily closing basis, it will confirm the bearish bias.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the downside, initial support is seen at the 21-day SMA near $4,692, followed closely by the 100-day SMA at roughly $4,681, forming a nearby demand band that, if broken, would expose the deeper medium-term floor around the 200-day SMA at $4,179. On the topside, immediate resistance comes at the 50-day SMA around $4,902; a daily close above this barrier would be needed to revive bullish traction and open the way for a more sustained recovery phase.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold remains at a crossroads in Friday\u2019s Asian trades, trying to find a clear direction as markets remain cautiously optimistic ahead of the US inflation report and the US-Iran peace negotiations. Gold buyers cheer the optimism heading into the peace talks between the US and Iran in Pakistan later on Friday, which is keeping the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-373-20260410\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;GOLD sellers refuse to give up yet as US CPI, US-Iran peace talks loom&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23750","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23750"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23750\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23752,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23750\/revisions\/23752"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23750"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23750"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23750"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}