{"id":23828,"date":"2026-04-30T06:41:54","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T06:41:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23828"},"modified":"2026-04-30T06:41:56","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T06:41:56","slug":"daily-commentary-386","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-386-20260430\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e0ng c\u00f3 v\u1ebb mong manh tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u1ed7i lo l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, Fed c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn gi\u1eef v\u1eefng l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>V\u00e0ng ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng l\u00e0 $4.510 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, do ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua thi\u1ebfu ni\u1ec1m tin.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng nh\u1edd l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \"di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\" c\u1ee7a Fed v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt do c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng M\u1ef9-Iran.<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t giao d\u1ecbch \u2018b\u00e1n khi t\u0103ng gi\u00e1\u2019 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh RSI h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111ang m\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng l\u00e0 $4.510 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua thi\u1ebfu ni\u1ec1m tin trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nhu c\u1ea7u t\u00ecm \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) gia t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng M\u1ef9-Iran li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u, l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 l\u00e0m suy gi\u1ea3m ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u1ea1i r\u1ee7i ro ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1m l\u00e0nh cho \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1eabn l\u00e0 g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng cho V\u00e0ng v\u1ed1n nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Bloomberg \u0111\u01b0a tin h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, d\u1eabn l\u1eddi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump, l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 (M\u1ef9) s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c phong t\u1ecfa h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Iran cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u1edbi Tehran \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y. \u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, Iran c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 \u201ch\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3\u201d \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c phong t\u1ecfa c\u00e1c t\u00e0u li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn Iran.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, v\u00e0ng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi c\u00fa \u0111\u00fap \u0111au \u0111\u1edbn, khi m\u1ed9t c\u00fa s\u1ed1c n\u1eefa \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i, \u201cnh\u01b0ng trong quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh chia r\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1992, \u0111\u00e3 ghi nh\u1eadn nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t trong tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ba phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Hoa K\u1ef3 n\u00ean truy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ea1t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed vay,\u201d theo Reuters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn v\u1ec1 truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u00f3 30% kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m 2027, t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng 5% m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group cho th\u1ea5y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u00edch l\u0169y gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 khi l\u1ecbch kinh t\u1ebf b\u1eadn r\u1ed9n, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u1eeb Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Anh (BoE) v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) qu\u00fd \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t PCE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1ec1 M\u1ef9-Iran v\u00e0 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading has-vivid-red-color has-text-color has-small-font-size\" id=\"h-daily-technical-analysis\">Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"379\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-19-1024x379.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-23829\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-19-1024x379.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-19-300x111.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-19-768x285.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-19-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-19.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, XAU\/USD giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.553,25. Kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 trung h\u1ea1n (SMA 21 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4.718,10 v\u00e0 SMA 50 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n $4.840,11), gi\u1eef cho xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda gi\u1ea3m b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn l\u01a1 l\u1eedng tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n quanh $4.274,87. M\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng, v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y g\u1ea7n $4.670,81, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, trong khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) quanh m\u1ee9c 38 cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng suy y\u1ebfu, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 thay v\u00ec ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n $4.670,81, theo sau l\u00e0 SMA 21 ng\u00e0y quanh m\u1ee9c $4.718 v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 SMA 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.757, v\u1edbi SMA 50 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.840 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n khi m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi n\u00f3. \u1ede ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi, m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y quanh m\u1ee9c $4.553, v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.382 v\u00e0 SMA 200 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.275 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ed9t s\u00e0n c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac s\u00e2u h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is fading its bounce from monthly lows of $4,510 set on Wednesday, as buyers lack conviction amid renewed haven demand for the US Dollar (USD) The US-Iran tensions, concerning the Strait of Hormuz, show no signs of easing, fuelling the unstoppable rally in Oil prices, which re-ignite inflation concerns and sag investors\u2019 confidence. The &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-386-20260430\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;GOLD looks vulnerable amid inflation fears, hawkish Fed hold&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23828"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23828\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23830,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23828\/revisions\/23830"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}