{"id":23972,"date":"2026-06-12T04:41:22","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T04:41:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23972"},"modified":"2026-06-12T04:41:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T04:41:27","slug":"daily-commentary-412","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-412-20260612\/","title":{"rendered":"R\u1ee7i ro gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nguy\u00ean \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi XAU\/USD trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh Giao c\u1eaft g\u1ea5u"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u1ea3m \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $4.200 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 h\u1ed3i sinh khi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng M\u1ef9-Iran gia t\u0103ng \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz l\u00e0m lu m\u1edd l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, V\u00e0ng v\u1eabn ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c khi RSI quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u00e2m, v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng Bear Cross \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng gi\u1ea3m \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi do ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng mua b\u00f9 b\u00e1n kh\u1ed1ng v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ed1c $4,200 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ghi nh\u1eadn tu\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 th\u1ee9 hai li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, sau khi \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m (YTD) g\u1ea7n ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng $4,000 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n<p>B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, sau khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0o Iran v\u00e0 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hy v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c, c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 (M\u1ef9) v\u00e0 Iran \u1edf eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa d\u1eadp t\u1eaft c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u00e0 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n cho \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) v\u1edbi chi ph\u00ed c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Trong nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eafn h\u1ea1 hai m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1ed9t chi\u1ec1u c\u1ee7a Iran khi Tehran d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c t\u00e0u th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, m\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c Hoa K\u1ef3 n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>Tr\u00edch d\u1eabn L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Iran (IRGC), truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Iran cho bi\u1ebft m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 n\u1ed5 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nghe th\u1ea5y \u1edf mi\u1ec1n nam \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng l\u00e2u c\u00f3 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t \u201ct\u00e0u vi ph\u1ea1m\u201d \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, \u00f4ng Trump cho bi\u1ebft m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u1edbi Iran s\u1eafp th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd \u201cc\u00f3 l\u1ebd v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u\u201d; \u00f4ng n\u00f3i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz s\u1ebd m\u1edf c\u1eeda \u201cngay khi ch\u00fang t\u00f4i k\u00fd\u201d c\u00e1c v\u0103n ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a \u201cth\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u0129 \u0111\u1ea1i\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra sau khi \u00f4ng \u1ea5y h\u1ee7y b\u1ecf c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00ecnh c\u00f4ng v\u00ec \u201cth\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn tuy\u1ec7t v\u1eddi\u201d \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi Iran; \u00f4ng \u1ea5y n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 chi\u1ebfm Kharg s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem x\u00e9t \u201cn\u1ebfu ch\u00fang ta k\u00fd th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn n\u00e0y\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1t ng\u00f4n vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 Ngo\u1ea1i giao Iran \u0111\u00e3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng l\u00e0m r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng Iran v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, theo Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, v\u0103n ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Israel \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean X v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m r\u1eb1ng Israel 'kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u00ean' trong bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n ghi nh\u1edb c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u1edbi Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong hai th\u00e1ng v\u00e0 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u00eam v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd kh\u00f4ng nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 t\u1eeb s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t n\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n (bps) v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12, theo C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kim lo\u1ea1i m\u00e0u s\u00e1ng l\u00e0 c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u s\u01a1 b\u1ed9 v\u1ec1 T\u00e2m l\u00fd ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Michigan (UoM) s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u n\u00e0y, c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch USD.<\/p>\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 then ch\u1ed1t trong c\u00e1c phi\u00ean s\u1eafp t\u1edbi. Tuy nhi\u00ean, V\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch tr\u01b0\u1edbc quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed v\u00e0o tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi, quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch m\u1edbi Kevin Warsh.<\/p>\n<p>Thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y duy tr\u00ec tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, v\u00ec kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-12-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-23973\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-12-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-12-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-12-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-12-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-12-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-12.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,203.06, duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u00ednh. C\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y, 50 ng\u00e0y, 100 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y (SMA) \u0111\u1ec1u n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean gi\u00e1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ngu\u1ed3n cung \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb tr\u00ean xu\u1ed1ng v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, trong khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (14) dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh m\u1ee9c 35, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 y\u1ebfu nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gia t\u0103ng n\u1ebfu phe b\u00e1n v\u1eabn n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>C\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 th\u00eam ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn C\u1eaft l\u1ed7 theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is back in the red below $4,200 early Friday, fading Thursday\u2019s recovery from YTD lows. The US Dollar returns to life as fresh US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz counter peace deal optimism. Technically, Gold remains vulnerable as RSI re-enters bearish zone, with a Bear Cross in play. Gold\u00a0returns to the red in &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-412-20260612\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Downside risks remain intact for XAU\/USD amid a Bear Cross&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23972","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23972","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23972"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23972\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23974,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23972\/revisions\/23974"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}