{"id":23975,"date":"2026-06-15T05:26:01","date_gmt":"2026-06-15T05:26:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23975"},"modified":"2026-06-15T05:26:03","modified_gmt":"2026-06-15T05:26:03","slug":"daily-commentary-413","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-413-20260615\/","title":{"rendered":"Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh M\u1ef9-Iran c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a XAU\/USD khi gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 h\u01b0\u1edbng s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd v\u00e0o Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i k\u00e9o d\u00e0i ba ng\u00e0y, t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt g\u1ea7n 3% nh\u1edd k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 gi\u1eef \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 do nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y (SMA) t\u1ea1i $4,454 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ed1n ng\u00e0y v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Hai, v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ed1c $4,300, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 khi m\u1edf c\u1eeda v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. Kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n m\u1edbi m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng, sau khi ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m (YTD) g\u1ea7n ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng $4,000 v\u00e0o tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n<p>Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn k\u00e9o d\u00e0i g\u1ea7n b\u1ed1n th\u00e1ng gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 (US) v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac sau khi c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh ban \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o Ch\u1ee7 nh\u1eadt, th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c v\u00e0o Th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, ng\u00e0y 19 th\u00e1ng 6.<\/p>\n<p>T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Trump cho bi\u1ebft th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn m\u00e0 \u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi Iran cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz \u201cmi\u1ec5n ph\u00ed v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n\u201d, t\u1edd New York Times \u0111\u01b0a tin h\u00f4m Ch\u1ee7 nh\u1eadt.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, Trump n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu Iran kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi M\u1ef9, \u00f4ng s\u1ebd n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0o Tehran ho\u1eb7c bi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 th\u00e0nh \u201cng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 Trung \u0110\u00f4ng\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1ea5y 20% doanh thu c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Ph\u00f3 Ngo\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edfng Iran Kazem Gharibabadi l\u01b0u \u00fd: \u201cM\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n v\u00e0 ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 tr\u00ean t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 Lebanon.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n ch\u00e2u \u00c1 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, d\u00f2ng ti\u1ec1n r\u1ee7i ro chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u1ea1c quan \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u00e1i di\u1ec5n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111ang b\u00e1n th\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed3ng USD \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n, t\u1ea1o th\u00eam \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng cho gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 b\u1eb1ng USD.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, V\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u, sau th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) v\u00e0 mang l\u1ea1i \u0111i\u1ec1m t\u1ed1t cho c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi nh\u01b0 kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1eabn c\u00f2n ph\u1ea3i xem li\u1ec7u v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i hay kh\u00f4ng v\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u chi ti\u1ebft c\u1ee7a th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf l\u1ea1i Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, n\u1ebfu Israel ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n v\u1edbi Lebanon, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111e d\u1ecda th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, c\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u00e2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xem x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf mua v\u00e0ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 quan tr\u1ecdng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i hai ng\u00e0y c\u1ee7a Fed, b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 tr\u00ec c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch m\u1edbi Kevin Warsh.<\/p>\n<p>Thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u0169ng gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, khi\u1ebfn kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-15-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-23976\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-15-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-15-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-15-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-15-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-15-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-15.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,326.30, duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n do gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y, 50 ng\u00e0y, 100 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y. Vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA n\u00e0y t\u1eadp trung \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 mang t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh trong m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, trong khi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 44 cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c ch\u1ec9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u00e1n qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,421, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y (SMA) quanh m\u1ee9c $4,454, n\u01a1i \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng cung \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean. \u1ede m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf kho\u1ea3ng $4,581 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n $4,762 t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t d\u1ea3i kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 cao h\u01a1n, c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chinh ph\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m d\u1ecbu b\u1edbt c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111ang chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold extends its three-day recovery, surging nearly 3% on US-Iran peace deal optimism. The US Dollar holds losses amid diminishing safe-haven appeal and falling Oil prices. Technically, Gold needs to recapture the 200-day SMA at $4,454 to negate the near-term bearish outlook. Gold\u00a0is at its highest level in four days early Monday, above $4,300, extending &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-413-20260615\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;US-Iran peace deal bolsters XAU\/USD recovery as eyes turn to Fed&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23975","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23975","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23975"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23975\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23977,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23975\/revisions\/23977"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23975"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23975"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23975"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}