{"id":23991,"date":"2026-06-17T05:20:30","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T05:20:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=23991"},"modified":"2026-06-17T05:20:33","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T05:20:33","slug":"daily-commentary-415","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-415-20260617\/","title":{"rendered":"Ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua XAU\/USD thi\u1ebfu s\u1ef1 tin t\u01b0\u1edfng khi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed s\u1eafp di\u1ec5n ra"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0ng t\u1ecf ra thi\u1ebfu t\u1ef1 tin khi gi\u00e1 v\u01b0\u1ee3t m\u1ed1c $4.300 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Fed \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 khi l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh M\u1ef9-Iran, ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi tr\u01b0\u1edbc bu\u1ed5i h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a t\u00e2n Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Warsh.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.400.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang duy tr\u00ec chu\u1ed7i t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 5 ng\u00e0y li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n $4,350, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quen thu\u1ed9c c\u1ee7a tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111ang ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n r\u1ee7i ro quan tr\u1ecdng trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp FOMC \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 tr\u00ec c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed m\u1edbi Kevin Warsh; do \u0111\u00f3, l\u1eddi n\u00f3i c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 tr\u1ecdng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd xem x\u00e9t k\u1ef9 l\u01b0\u1ee1ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Warsh v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n thanh kho\u1ea3n v\u00e0 b\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i k\u1ebf to\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed s\u1ebd \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi B\u1ea3n T\u00f3m T\u1eaft D\u1ef1 B\u00e1o Kinh T\u1ebf (SEP) c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt, c\u00f2n g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 dot plot. C\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o trung b\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7n cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n (bps) trong n\u0103m nay sang vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 bps.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd gi\u1eef l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n trong kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb 3,5% \u0111\u1ebfn 3,75% v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/p>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c m\u1edbi n\u1ebfu C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) \u0111\u01b0a ra th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p mang t\u00ednh di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u. Vi\u1ec7c t\u1eadp trung m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n v\u00e0o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay, ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t b\u1ea3ng c\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i k\u1ebf to\u00e1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u201cl\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i\u201d v\u00e0 k\u00e9o gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c quan tr\u1ecdng $4.000.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu Kevin Warsh \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, ho\u1eb7c nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng l\u00ean g\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 200 ng\u00e0y, n\u1eb1m ngay tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c $4,450.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Fed \u0111ang \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n do ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 sau \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m (YTD) g\u1ea7n $4,020. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd t\u1ea1m ng\u01b0ng \u0111\u1eb7t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh giao d\u1ecbch m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u00f4ng Warsh ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean sau cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng \u0111ang h\u00e1o h\u1ee9c ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i c\u00e1c chi ti\u1ebft v\u1ec1 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 (US) v\u00e0 Iran, v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u00fd k\u1ebft v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh G7 \u1edf Geneva.<\/p>\n<p>T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump cho bi\u1ebft s\u1ebd lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Tehran, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd cho ph\u00e9p Iran b\u00e1n d\u1ea7u khi k\u00fd k\u1ebft th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng V\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (WGC) c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, trong \u0111\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y c\u00f3 t\u1edbi 45% nh\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t \u2013 con s\u1ed1 k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c \u2013 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0ng n\u1eafm gi\u1eef c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c m\u00ecnh trong 12 th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-17-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-23992\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-17-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-17-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-17-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-17-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-17-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-17.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,333.21. Kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t khi duy tr\u00ec d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng $4,402, trong khi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n h\u01a1n nh\u01b0 SMA 200 ng\u00e0y, 50 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 100 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u n\u1eb1m cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi gi\u00e1, l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,461, $4,565 v\u00e0 $4,746, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 44 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung t\u00e2m, cho th\u1ea5y phe b\u00e1n v\u1eabn chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf ngay c\u1ea3 khi \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda t\u0103ng gi\u00e1, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) quanh m\u1ee9c $4,402; t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft. \u1ede m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,461 l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng ti\u1ebfp theo, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y quanh m\u1ee9c $4,565, trong khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng $4,746 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u1eeb khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng h\u01a1n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold buyers lack conviction above $4,300 early Wednesday as the Fed event risk looms. The US Dollar holds the retreat amid US-Iran peace deal optimism, profit-taking ahead of new Fed Chair Warsh\u2019s presser. Technically, Gold retains its downside bias whilst below the 21-day SMA near $4,400. Gold\u00a0is holding its five-day winning streak near $4,350 in &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-415-20260617\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD buyers lack conviction as Fed policy decision looms&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23991","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23991","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23991"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23991\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23993,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23991\/revisions\/23993"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23991"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23991"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23991"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}