{"id":24030,"date":"2026-06-30T06:12:32","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:12:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24030"},"modified":"2026-06-30T06:12:32","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T06:12:32","slug":"daily-commentary-421","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-421-20260630\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u00e0ng\/USD s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u00f9ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt do c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh d\u1eebng l\u1ed7 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ea3y th\u00e1ng, xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi $3.950.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i khi USD\/JPY \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao m\u1edbi trong 40 n\u0103m; b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb r\u00ecnh r\u1eadp.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m tra m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y th\u00e1ng 11 n\u0103m 2025 g\u1ea7n $3.930 khi m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh \u201cDeath Cross\u201d v\u1eabn \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n 1.50% trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba, ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 7 th\u00e1ng qua khi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd quan tr\u1ecdng $3.950 b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng b\u00e1n th\u00e1o m\u1edbi b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba, m\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng $75 ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00f2ng v\u00e0i gi\u1edd.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY) \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n USD\/JPY l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1986, v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 162,00, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh c\u1eaft l\u1ed7 t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u00e0ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c $4.000.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n USD\/JPY \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfp th\u00eam sinh l\u1ef1c m\u1edbi cho \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD), sau khi k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng trong quan h\u1ec7 M\u1ef9-Iran \u0111ang leo thang tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean v\u00e0ng, lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) trong n\u0103m nay ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n<p>Theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ba l\u1ea7n trong n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 63%.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn trong tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i lo l\u1eafng tr\u01b0\u1edbc cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran t\u1ea1i Doha v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, ngay c\u1ea3 khi Iran cho bi\u1ebft v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai r\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 cu\u1ed9c g\u1eb7p n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00ean l\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n<p>Cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n qua, t\u00ean l\u1eeda ph\u00f3ng t\u1eeb c\u1ea3 hai ph\u00eda \u0111\u00e3 th\u1eed th\u00e1ch l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi nh\u1eb1m ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn k\u00e9o d\u00e0i b\u1ed1n th\u00e1ng.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a USD do c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n USD\/JPY d\u1eabn d\u1eaft s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i d\u1eef li\u1ec7u JOLTS Job Openings c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c tin t\u1ee9c m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 M\u1ef9-Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n th\u01b0\u1eddng ni\u00ean c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) t\u1ea1i Sintra, B\u1ed3 \u0110\u00e0o Nha s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd khi Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed m\u1edbi, Kevin Warsh, tham gia m\u1ed9t h\u1ed9i th\u1ea3o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch quan tr\u1ecdng. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y theo sau m\u00e0n ra m\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7y b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd \"di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u\" c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Warsh v\u1edbi t\u01b0 c\u00e1ch l\u00e0 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24031\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/gold-chart-2026-06-30.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $3,962.98. Kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t, n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,213,52 c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y, 100 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1eadp trung trong kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb $4,440 \u0111\u1ebfn $4,660, nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y c\u00f9ng nhau cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng trung h\u1ea1n \u0111ang b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI 14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 32,22 \u0111ang dao \u0111\u1ed9ng ngay tr\u00ean v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang g\u1ea7n c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,213.52, tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 50 ng\u00e0y (SMA) \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,437,66 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4,480,39, trong khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4,662,90 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u m\u1ed9t r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n xa h\u01a1n, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3. Do kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng t\u1eeb \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac n\u00e0o d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i trong b\u1ed9 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 n\u00e0o ti\u1ebfp theo s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn XAU\/USD ph\u1ea3i t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c c\u1ea7u m\u1edbi, trong khi ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y m\u1edbi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold keeps falling and refreshes seven-month lows below $3,950 early Tuesday. The US Dollar rebounds as USD\/JPY hits fresh 40-year highs; geopolitical woes loom. Gold could test November 2025 lows near $3,930 as the Death Cross remains in play. Gold\u00a0is down nearly 1.50% so far in Tuesday\u2019s Asian trading, sitting at a fresh seven-month low &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-421-20260630\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD crashes with Japanese Yen as stops likely triggered&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24030","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24030","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24030"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24030\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24032,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24030\/revisions\/24032"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24030"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24030"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24030"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}