{"id":24070,"date":"2026-07-17T04:43:59","date_gmt":"2026-07-17T04:43:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24070"},"modified":"2026-07-17T04:43:59","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T04:43:59","slug":"daily-commentary-433","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-433-20260717\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD gi\u1ea3m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m ti\u1ebfp theo"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ghi nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi (dead cat bounce) l\u00ean g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.000 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, v\u00e0 \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ee9c s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t trong s\u00e1u tu\u1ea7n qua.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i khi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng M\u1ef9-Iran gia t\u0103ng, l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 s\u1ebd ki\u1ec3m tra m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n $3.850 trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111ang xoa d\u1ecbu v\u1ebft th\u01b0\u01a1ng trong giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong hai tu\u1ea7n, khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n v\u1eabn hy v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee9c l\u1ed7 h\u00e0ng tu\u1ea7n l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t trong s\u00e1u tu\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng t\u00ecm \u0111\u00e1y nh\u01b0ng v\u00f4 \u00edch, v\u00ec nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eebng l\u1ea1i, khi Hoa K\u1ef3 (US) b\u01b0\u1edbc sang ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 s\u00e1u li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Iran v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 lan r\u1ed9ng ra c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia V\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh kh\u00e1c, bao g\u1ed3m Kuwait, Bahrain v\u00e0 Jordan.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0o nhi\u1ec1u m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u1edf Iran v\u00e0 c\u0169ng n\u00e3 s\u00fang v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea3o Kharg, c\u1ea3ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Iran.<\/p>\n<p>Iran \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0 m\u00e1y bay kh\u00f4ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi l\u00e1i v\u00e0o c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 trong khu v\u1ef1c, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi y\u00eau c\u1ea7u nh\u00f3m chi\u1ebfn binh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Iran h\u1eadu thu\u1eabn \u1edf Yemen, Houthi, chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf qua Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf n\u1ebfu Hoa K\u1ef3 nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Iran, theo Reuters.<\/p>\n<p>Cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec9nh th\u00e1ng (t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 12% trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y), l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong n\u0103m nay \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n ra s\u1edbm nh\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9.<\/p>\n<p>Trong c\u00e1c b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 quan ch\u1ee9c Fed \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng khai \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, do s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u1edbi chi ph\u00ed l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 V\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d4ng Jefferson c\u1ee7a Fed \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p mang t\u00ednh c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i, v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u1ed1 FXS Speechtracker l\u00e0 6\/10, cao h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed 5,8\/10, cho th\u1ea5y gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9 quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp. Vi\u1ec7c nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng \u201c\u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i n\u00ean h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, cho ph\u00e9p l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c 2%\u201d \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t kh\u00f4ng h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t th\u00ec s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n xem x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y, \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa hai nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, thu\u1ebf quan v\u00e0 tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o (AI) ch\u1ed3ng ch\u00e9o l\u00ean nhau.<\/p>\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 T\u00e2m l\u00fd Fed c\u1ee7a FXS kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i, di chuy\u1ec3n 0,00 \u0111i\u1ec3m l\u00ean m\u1ee9c v\u1eabn c\u00f2n cao l\u00e0 126,57, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1eef cho vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 Fed n\u00f3i chung v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong v\u00f9ng di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n l\u1ebb v\u00e0 S\u1ed1 \u0111\u01a1n xin tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n mong \u0111\u1ee3i, g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n v\u00e0o \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea1c xanh.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u s\u01a1 b\u1ed9 v\u1ec1 T\u00e2m l\u00fd Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Michigan (UoM) s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mong \u0111\u1ee3i \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c giao d\u1ecbch m\u1edbi cho V\u00e0ng, khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo d\u00f5i c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, c\u00e1c d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c di\u1ec5n ra khi gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn dao \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m (YTD) l\u00e0 $3.942, m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-17-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24071\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-17-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-17-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-17-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-17-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-17-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-17.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $3.997,14, gi\u1eef m\u1ee9c r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,076.42 v\u00e0 SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,291.26, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u1eabn nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh. C\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n h\u01a1n l\u00e0 100 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y, l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,535.75 v\u00e0 $4,495.43, v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 giao ngay, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) (14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 39 cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m y\u1ebfu nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n, ng\u1ee5 \u00fd r\u1eb1ng phe b\u00e1n v\u1eabn n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t v\u00e0 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,076.42; n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 l\u00ean tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 50 ng\u00e0y (SMA) t\u1ea1i $4,291.26 s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp theo. Ph\u00eda tr\u00ean \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4,495.43 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4,535.75 t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t d\u1ea3i kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 trung h\u1ea1n d\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c, c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chinh ph\u1ee5c l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m d\u1ecbu b\u1edbt xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 chung. Do kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0o g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3 \u1edf ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p m\u1edbi n\u00e0o c\u0169ng s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3i t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c s\u00e0n c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u1edbi, trong khi vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c $4,076.42 s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro nghi\u00eang v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m ti\u1ebfp di\u1ec5n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold sees a dead cat bounce to near $4,000 early Friday, eyes biggest weekly drop in six. The US Dollar holds its recovery as US-Iran tensions intensify, fanning inflation risks and Fed hike bets. Technically, Gold looks to test the falling trendline support near $3,850 in the near term. Gold\u00a0is licking its wounds in Friday\u2019s &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-433-20260717\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD pulls back before the next leg down&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24070","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24070","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24070"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24070\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24072,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24070\/revisions\/24072"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24070"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24070"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24070"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}