{"id":24102,"date":"2026-07-28T05:31:23","date_gmt":"2026-07-28T05:31:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24102"},"modified":"2026-07-28T05:31:23","modified_gmt":"2026-07-28T05:31:23","slug":"daily-commentary-440","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-440-20260728\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD c\u00f3 v\u1ebb mong manh khi s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd chuy\u1ec3n sang cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c tr\u00ean $4.100 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m tra m\u1ee9c $4.050 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong ba tu\u1ea7n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Fed v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang th\u1eed th\u00e1ch m\u1ed1c $4.050, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c tr\u00ean $4.100, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh phe b\u00e1n v\u1eabn chi\u1ebfm \u01b0u th\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i hai ng\u00e0y c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m nay.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 trong ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 hai li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Hai, hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong ba tu\u1ea7n, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng r\u1eb1ng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 r\u1ee7i ro th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed ch\u1ecdn t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 38% v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n (bps) t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 7, t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 16% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n, theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, trong khi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 l\u00e0 81%.<\/p>\n<p>K\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn dai d\u1eb3ng v\u1ec1 Fed \u0111\u00e3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 n\u1ed7i lo l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t, sau khi t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng xung \u0111\u1ed9t M\u1ef9-Iran. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la, g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i cho c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi nh\u01b0 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o chip b\u00e1n d\u1eabn \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng s\u00e2u s\u1eafc v\u00e0 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1edbn l\u00ean t\u00e2m l\u00fd r\u1ee7i ro, gi\u1eef cho nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi USD lu\u00f4n s\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean nh\u1edd c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1ee3c di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u c\u1ee7a Fed v\u00e0 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng e ng\u1ea1i r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 l\u1ec7nh \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c theo h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0o tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, khi\u1ebfn kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-28-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24103\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-28-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-28-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-28-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-28-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-28-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-28.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,047.22, v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n do gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,070.45 v\u00e0 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50, 100 v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y, t\u1eadp trung trong kho\u1ea3ng t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng $4,213 \u0111\u1ebfn $4,493. C\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 trung h\u1ea1n c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd v\u1ea5p ph\u1ea3i \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n, trong khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 44,99 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung l\u1eadp 50, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m sau \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef cho phe b\u00e1n s\u1ed1ng s\u00f3t, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 22 th\u00e1ng 7, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t Bear Cross.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft n\u1eb1m t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,070.45, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp theo t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 50 ng\u00e0y (SMA) \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,212.98, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4,458.42 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4,492.57, nh\u1eefng m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y c\u00f9ng nhau t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng cung r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn, gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng trung h\u1ea1n. Do kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c s\u00e0n k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng n\u00e0o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1edfi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng trong b\u1ed9 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ee3t suy y\u1ebfu n\u00e0o t\u00e1i di\u1ec5n d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c $4,047.22 s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn v\u00e0ng d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb th\u1eed th\u00e1ch c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y dao \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c ngang tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a ti\u1ebfp theo.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold extends Monday\u2019s pullback from above $4,100 and tests the $4,050 level early Tuesday. The US Dollar sits at three-week highs amid real risk of a Fed rate hike this week, repositioning. Gold\u2019s daily technical setup keeps downside bias intact ahead of the Fed verdict on Wednesday. Gold\u00a0is challenging the $4,050 level early Tuesday, extending &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-440-20260728\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD looks vulnerable as focus shifts to the Fed meeting&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24102","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24102","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24102"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24102\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24104,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24102\/revisions\/24104"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24102"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24102"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24102"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}