{"id":24113,"date":"2026-07-30T05:23:57","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T05:23:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24113"},"modified":"2026-07-30T05:23:57","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T05:23:57","slug":"daily-commentary-442","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-442-20260730\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 XAU\/USD \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $4.000 v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u GDP c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\" style=\"color: #f40307;\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n khi v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ed1c $4.100, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh sau quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed).<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m sau phi\u00ean h\u1ecdp FOMC khi M\u1ef9 ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1edbi v\u00e0o Iran.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c $4.100 v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI ph\u1ea3i \u1edf tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c 50.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng l\u1ea1i gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, sau khi kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 tr\u00ean $4.100 l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y khi \u0110\u1ed3ng USD thu h\u00fat l\u1ef1c mua v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n sau khi Hoa K\u1ef3 ph\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1edbi v\u00e0o Iran v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>B\u1ed9 T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh Trung t\u00e2m Hoa K\u1ef3 (CENTCOM) cho bi\u1ebft tr\u00ean X r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh \u201cl\u00e0n s\u00f3ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng l\u1edbn\u201d nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o Iran, \u0111\u00e1nh tr\u00fang th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 Abadan \u1edf t\u00e2y nam Iran c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea3o Qeshm.<\/p>\n<p>Qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Hoa K\u1ef3 cho bi\u1ebft, \u201cc\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 c\u00e1c v\u1ee5 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda m\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Hoa K\u1ef3 trong khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 \u201cnh\u1eb1m m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u h\u01a1n n\u1eefa c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda do Iran v\u00e0 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd g\u00e2y ra \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9, t\u00e0u thuy\u1ec1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng V\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c giao tranh t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i sau khi t\u1ea1m l\u1eafng v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n qua, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn giao d\u1ecbch m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng do lo ng\u1ea1i l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn c\u00f2n t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 6,50% c\u1ee7a \u201cv\u00e0ng \u0111en\u201d c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng hai chi\u1ec1u sau khi C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t qu\u1ef9 li\u00ean bang \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,5% \u0111\u1ebfn 3,75% \u2013 \u0111\u00fang nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u2013 v\u1edbi k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd theo h\u01b0\u1edbng di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 9-3 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 FXS Fed Sentiment Index kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i, t\u0103ng 0,00 \u0111i\u1ec3m l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 128,64 v\u1eabn mang t\u00ednh di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u, x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 n\u00e0y duy tr\u00ec gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch chung \u1edf ph\u1ea1m vi th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t. S\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u1ed1 cao c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 FXS Fed Sentiment Index v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u1ed1 FXS Speechtracker tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n cho th\u1ea5y Fed v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 neo gi\u1eef mang t\u00ednh di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la, ngay c\u1ea3 khi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Kevin Warsh v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t h\u01a1n n\u1eefa \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c li\u1ec7u Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eef neo k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n hay kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u00f3 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn cho cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 9 hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n<p>Theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 35%, t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 24% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e8 n\u1eb7ng l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong g\u1ea7n ba th\u00e1ng v\u00e0 gi\u1eef cho \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) qu\u00fd hai c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed v\u00e0 c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a USD v\u00e0 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 2,1% t\u00ednh theo t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 h\u00e0ng n\u0103m trong qu\u00fd 2 n\u0103m 2026, v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi b\u00e1o c\u00e1o GDP c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng c\u0169ng s\u1ebd ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Y\u00eau c\u1ea7u tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 Chi ti\u00eau ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n (PCE) c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i h\u00e0ng n\u0103m.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-24114\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,053.13, duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) ch\u00ednh. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,073.46 t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ngay ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, trong khi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y, 100 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 200 ng\u00e0y l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,193.29, $4,435.77 v\u00e0 $4,490.68 l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 m\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7n kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI 14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 46.00 n\u1eb1m ngay d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00f9ng trung l\u1eadp, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu thay v\u00ec t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u00e1n qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) quanh m\u1ee9c $4,073, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 50 ng\u00e0y (SMA) g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,193. Ph\u00eda tr\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf kho\u1ea3ng $4,436 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n $4,491 t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n trung h\u1ea1n d\u00e0y \u0111\u1eb7c m\u00e0 v\u00e0ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt. Do kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng trong d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ee3t ki\u1ec3m tra l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng khi\u1ebfn di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 d\u00f2ng l\u1ec7nh cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u1edbi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold faces rejection once again above $4,100 in the aftermath of the Fed verdict-led volatility. The US Dollar pauses post-FOMC sell-off as the US launches fresh strikes on Iran. A daily closing above $4,100 and the RSI above 50 are needed to negate Gold\u2019s bearish outlook. Gold\u00a0is back in the red early Thursday, after failing &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-442-20260730\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD eyes $4,000 and US GDP amid fresh US-Iran tensions&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24113","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24113"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24113\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24116,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24113\/revisions\/24116"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24113"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24113"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24113"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}