{"id":24117,"date":"2026-07-31T05:04:55","date_gmt":"2026-07-31T05:04:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24117"},"modified":"2026-07-31T05:04:55","modified_gmt":"2026-07-31T05:04:55","slug":"daily-commentary-443","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-443-20260731\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 s\u1ebd ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chu\u1ed7i thua 4 th\u00e1ng nh\u01b0ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u00e1n v\u1eabn t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i b\u1ecf cu\u1ed9c"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\" style=\"color: #f40307;\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c tr\u00ean $4.100 khi l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1edd c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng M\u1ef9-Iran gia t\u0103ng v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda \u1edf m\u1ee9c tr\u00ean $4.100 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, nh\u01b0ng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn \u1edf d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 50.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong tu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 $4.120 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn \u0111ang tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e0 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chu\u1ed7i gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i b\u1ed1n th\u00e1ng.<\/p>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 tr\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng $4.100, d\u00f9 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) \u0111ang c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong s\u00e1u tu\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi s\u00e1u \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 n\u01b0\u1edbc trung gian h\u00f2a gi\u1ea3i Pakistan kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n gi\u1eefa Tehran v\u00e0 Washington v\u1eabn \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u201cm\u1ea1nh tay\u201d c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o Iran \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng m\u1edbi nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 \u1edf Jordan \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea1c xanh.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i Iran Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean X r\u1eb1ng \u201cng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 quen b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho nh\u1eefng c\u00fa t\u00e1t h\u1ecd nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ean chi\u1ebfn tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed5 m\u00e1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00f4 t\u1ed9i. H\u1ecd s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1\u201d.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u1ed3ng USD c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb hy v\u1ecdng dai d\u1eb3ng r\u1eb1ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) s\u1ebd ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1ch t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng cam k\u1ebft v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t h\u01a1n n\u1eefa c\u1ee7a Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Kevin Warsh trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o sau cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u1ea1i HSBC nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u1ee9 n\u0103m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, \u201cph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng\u201d, nh\u01b0ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng \u201ct\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu 9-3 cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c tranh lu\u1eadn s\u00f4i n\u1ed5i trong FOMC\u201d. Trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c thu nh\u1eadp c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh, h\u1ecd l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng \u201cch\u00fang t\u00f4i duy tr\u00ec l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng trung l\u1eadp v\u1ec1 k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 \u01b0u ti\u00ean t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng c\u00f3 ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao, h\u1ea1ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1eafm b\u1eaft l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn v\u00e0 thu nh\u1eadp l\u00e3i coupon\u201d. HSBC n\u00f3i th\u00eam r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd \u201cti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 ki\u00ean c\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn\u201d.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i s\u1ef1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a USD, V\u00e0ng c\u0169ng ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 t\u1eeb d\u1eef li\u1ec7u PMI kinh doanh ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c g\u00e2y th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng trong th\u00e1ng 7, trong khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng tr\u01b0\u1edbc quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BoJ).<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh tr\u1ea3i qua bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m do nghi ng\u1edd c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng Y\u00ean Nh\u1eadt (JPY) t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt v\u00e0 c\u1eb7p USD\/JPY gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 600 pip ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00e0i ph\u00fat.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p USD\/JPY \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng USD tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng, khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c $4.100.<\/p>\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u h\u1ed7n h\u1ee3p v\u1ec1 T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i (GDP) v\u00e0 Y\u00eau c\u1ea7u tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o th\u00eam \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 th\u00eam cho kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c lu\u1ed3ng gi\u00f3 thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u1eef l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng hawkish ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a BoJ, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ed3i sinh nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua JPY v\u00e0 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 USD. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00f9 \u0111\u1ecbch \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng gia t\u0103ng, v\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t do nhu c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-24118\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-31-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-31-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-31-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-31-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-31-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-31-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-31.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,082.83, duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n do gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m d\u01b0\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) ch\u00ednh. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,185.76, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,426,31 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,490,85, \u0111\u1ec1u n\u1eb1m ph\u00eda tr\u00ean v\u00e0 cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn b\u1ecb gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n trong m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n, trong khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,073,95 cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) (14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 48,3, n\u1eb1m h\u01a1i d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng suy y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 t\u00edch l\u0169y trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 50 ng\u00e0y (SMA) g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,185.76, v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng n\u00e0y m\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft v\u00e0 m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4,426.31, sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4,490.85. \u1ede ph\u00eda gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1, m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) t\u1ea1i $4,073.95; vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n v\u00e0 cho th\u1ea5y phe b\u00e1n \u0111ang l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold fails to hold above $4,100 once again as sellers return early Friday. The US Dollar rebounds on fresh US-Iran tensions and month-end profit-taking. Gold closed above $4,100 on Thursday, but the daily RSI remains below 50. Gold\u00a0is seeing a brief pullback from weekly highs of $4,120 early Friday, but remains on track to end &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-443-20260731\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Looks to snap four-month losing streak but sellers refuse to give up&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24117","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24117","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24117"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24117\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24120,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24117\/revisions\/24120"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24117"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24117"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24117"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}