{"id":24254,"date":"2026-09-17T04:56:19","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T04:56:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24254"},"modified":"2026-09-17T04:56:19","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T04:56:19","slug":"daily-commentary-468","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-468-20260917\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi nguy hi\u1ec3m"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>S\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y s\u00e1u tu\u1ea7n g\u1eb7p ph\u1ea3i l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n m\u1edbi \u1edf ph\u00eda tr\u00ean $4,300 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 N\u0103m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng l\u1ea5y c\u1ea3m h\u1ee9ng t\u1eeb C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang mang quan \u0111i\u1ec3m di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ea3y tu\u1ea7n gi\u1eefa b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ngo\u1ea1i giao c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ch\u1ed1t phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ng\u00e0y Th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 \u1edf m\u1ee9c d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 50 ng\u00e0y quan tr\u1ecdng, g\u1ea7n ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng $4.280, do ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n m\u1edbi \u1edf m\u1ee9c tr\u00ean $4.300, l\u00e0m ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong s\u00e1u tu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 $4.235 v\u1eeba ch\u1ea1m t\u1edbi ngay sau c\u00e1c th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 mang t\u00ednh di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u t\u1eeb C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed).<\/p>\n<p>C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n th\u00eam 25 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n (bps) l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 3,75%-4%, \u0111\u00fang nh\u01b0 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i, trong m\u1ed9t quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/p>\n<p>B\u1ea3n T\u00f3m t\u1eaft D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o Kinh t\u1ebf (SEP) c\u1ee7a Fed, c\u00f2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 Ch\u1ea5m (Dot Plot), d\u1ef1 t\u00ednh th\u00eam m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t n\u1eefa trong n\u0103m nay, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed9t tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng m\u01a1 h\u1ed3 cho n\u0103m t\u1edbi. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2027, t\u1eeb 10 \u0111\u1ebfn 14 quan ch\u1ee9c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111i ngang cho \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2027, trong khi 4 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean v\u1eabn d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Kevin Warsh \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp b\u00e1o sau cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 r\u1eb1ng \u201ch\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2% m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch k\u1ecbp th\u1eddi h\u01a1n\u201d, qua \u0111\u00f3 \u00e1m ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch tinh t\u1ebf r\u1eb1ng l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh gi\u1ea3m l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 l\u1ed9 tr\u00ecnh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a Fed, khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111ang ti\u00eau h\u00f3a s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng di\u1ec5n ra qua \u0111\u00eam v\u00e0 l\u00e0m \u0111\u00ecnh tr\u1ec7 \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ea3y tu\u1ea7n tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 tho\u00e1i lui kh\u1ecfi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec9nh nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0ng c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m qua \u0111\u00eam, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o l\u00e0m d\u1ecbu b\u1edbt lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, sau c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cho bi\u1ebft \u1ea2 R\u1eadp X\u00ea-\u00fat \u0111ang cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c l\u00f4 h\u00e0ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 b\u1ed5 sung th\u00f4ng qua Oman, l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung.<\/p>\n<p>H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cho r\u1eb1ng T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd g\u1eb7p g\u1ee1 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh b\u00ean l\u1ec1 \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Li\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c (LHQ) t\u1ea1i New York v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba t\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfp theo trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Iran c\u0169ng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan ngo\u1ea1i giao tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u1ecbp h\u1ed3i k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m (dead cat bounce) khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) c\u00f3 l\u1eadp\u0a16 di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u h\u01a1n c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 c\u01a1n gi\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng sang quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BoJ) v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn c\u1eb7p USD\/JPY, g\u00e2y ra hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng lan truy\u1ec1n sang \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh v\u00e0 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn V\u00e0ng v\u1ed1n nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi USD.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 S\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u1ed9p \u0111\u01a1n xin tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 Doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n nh\u00e0 ch\u1edd x\u1eed l\u00fd c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd thu h\u00fat s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang h\u1ed3i ph\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-17-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24255\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-17-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-17-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-17-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-17-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-17-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-17.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, XAU\/USD giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.285,21, v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 khi gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.322,66 trong khi v\u1eabn gi\u1eef ngay tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.282,50. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.434,61 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.540,22 n\u1eb1m \u1edf ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m b\u1edfi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n ch\u1ed3ng ch\u00e9o. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI 14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 44,07 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung l\u1eadp 50, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng \u0111ang suy y\u1ebfu ch\u1ee9 ch\u01b0a h\u1eb3n l\u00e0 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede chi\u1ec1u t\u0103ng, kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4.322,66, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y quanh m\u1ee9c $4.434,61 v\u00e0 sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7n d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 h\u01a1n do \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1o ra \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.540,22. \u1ede chi\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1ee9c th\u1eddi n\u1eb1m \u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y quanh m\u1ee9c $4.282,50; m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 duy tr\u00ec d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c s\u00e0n n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh s\u00e2u h\u01a1n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold\u2019s recovery from six-week lows runs into fresh offers above $4,300 early Thursday. US Dollar consolidates hawkish Fed-inspired rally to seven-week highs amid US diplomatic efforts. Gold settled Wednesday below key 50-day SMA near $4,280, as the daily RSI remains bearish. Gold\u00a0is facing fresh sellers above $4,300 early Thursday, stalling its recovery from six-week lows &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-468-20260917\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD bounces but not out of the woods yet&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24254","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24254","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24254"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24254\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24256,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24254\/revisions\/24256"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24254"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24254"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24254"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}