{"id":24298,"date":"2026-09-30T04:06:20","date_gmt":"2026-09-30T04:06:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24298"},"modified":"2026-09-30T04:06:20","modified_gmt":"2026-09-30T04:06:20","slug":"daily-commentary-476","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-476-20260930\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD ch\u1edd d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t PCE c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u1ebfp theo"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>V\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p trong t\u00e1m tu\u1ea7n, trong khi giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c d\u01b0\u1edbi $4.200 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u s\u00e1ng th\u1ee9 T\u01b0.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t tho\u00e1i lui nh\u1eb1m thu v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn tr\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1eef li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m ADP v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t PCE c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3-kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n $4,185, v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111ang \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p trong t\u00e1m tu\u1ea7n t\u1ea1i $4.110 \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eabn \u1edf d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c $4.200 tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u00e1o c\u00e1o vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m ADP c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n (PCE) c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111ang g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Ba, trong khi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i sau khi Axios \u0111\u01b0a tin r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n ngo\u1ea1i giao do Qatar trung gian gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n n\u00e0o. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u1ebf t\u1eafc n\u00e0y \u0111ang g\u00e2y ra n\u1ed7i lo v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 m\u1edbi gi\u1eefa hai qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb m\u1edbi v\u00e0 lo ng\u1ea1i l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t do gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111ang h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u0169ng tr\u00e1nh \u0111\u1eb7t c\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edbi v\u00e0o kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1eef li\u1ec7u quan tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 PCE c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) \u01b0a th\u00edch, v\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p th\u00eam th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n<p>Theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10 l\u00e0 47%, gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c tr\u00ean 70% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m sau khi Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang New York John Williams cho bi\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Fed c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u00eam m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t n\u1eefa trong n\u0103m nay \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00fang h\u01b0\u1edbng theo m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2% c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a Williams trong vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) c\u1ee7a Williams \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn, v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec3m s\u1ed1 FXS Speechtracker l\u00e0 6,4, cao h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh l\u1ecbch s\u1eed l\u00e0 6,2, cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c thay v\u00ec s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1ec1 nh\u1ecbp \u0111i\u1ec7u. S\u1ef1 nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o \u201ckh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i g\u1ea5p r\u00fat\u201d sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp theo c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n n\u1ebfu n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, cho th\u1ea5y l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, v\u1eabn \u01b0u ti\u00ean vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c 2% v\u00e0 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n n\u00f3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean dai d\u1eb3ng.<\/p>\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 t\u00e2m l\u00fd Fed c\u1ee7a FXS \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 1,43 \u0111i\u1ec3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 144,29, cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 suy y\u1ebfu nh\u1eb9 trong nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, d\u00f9 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng trung t\u00ednh l\u00e0 100.<\/p>\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nhanh ch\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi \u0111\u00e0 b\u00e1n th\u00e1o m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u khi ni\u1ec1m hy v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00e1i kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng sau khi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n M\u1ef9-Iran \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Qatar l\u00e0m trung gian.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-30-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24299\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-30-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-30-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-30-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-30-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-30-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-30.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Trong bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.175,27, ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh d\u01b0\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng b\u00e1n th\u00e1o trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4.320,18, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4.322,71, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4.287,98 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4.538,15 \u0111\u1ec1u n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang b\u1ecb gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n b\u1edfi c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 39,78 ch\u1ec9 v\u1eeba d\u01b0\u1edbi v\u00f9ng trung t\u00ednh, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn \u0111ang dai d\u1eb3ng nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang \u1edf g\u1ea7n $4.312,54, tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t c\u1ee5m gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh b\u1edfi c\u00e1c MA trung h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n quanh $4.320\u2013$4.323, v\u1edbi MA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.287,98 v\u00e0 MA 200 ng\u00e0y d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.538,15, t\u1ea1o n\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea3n cao h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ee3t ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i s\u00e2u h\u01a1n di\u1ec5n ra. \u1ede ph\u00eda d\u01b0\u1edbi, s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac ch\u00ednh v\u1eabn l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng \u0111ang v\u1ebd t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng $3.999,15, \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 ti\u1ebfp theo trong \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u h\u01a1n v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng m\u1edf ra c\u00e1nh c\u1eeda cho m\u1ed9t pha \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold consolidates rebound from eight-week lows, while trading below $4,200 early Wednesday. US Dollar sees a profit-taking pullback ahead of US ADP jobs and PCE Inflation data. Gold reverts to the key support-turned-resistance near $4,185, with daily RSI still bearish. Gold\u00a0is consolidating the previous rebound from an eight-week low of $4,110 in Asia on Wednesday, &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-476-20260930\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD eyes US PCE inflation data for next move&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24298","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24298","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24298"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24298\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24300,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24298\/revisions\/24300"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24298"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24298"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24298"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}