{"id":24304,"date":"2026-10-02T04:06:20","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T04:06:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24304"},"modified":"2026-10-02T04:06:20","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T04:06:20","slug":"daily-commentary-478","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-478-20261002\/","title":{"rendered":"S\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ch\u00eca kh\u00f3a cho \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i l\u1edbn ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n XAU\/USD"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>V\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ecf g\u1ea7n $4.150, v\u1eabn trong ph\u1ea1m vi tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 17 th\u00e1ng, trong khi l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c t\u0103ng cao \u0111\u00e3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho vi\u1ec7c Fed h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>V\u00e0ng duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m d\u01b0\u1edbi $4.200 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, trong khi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng $4.100 v\u1eabn gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ecf t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u sau khi th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c nh\u1eb1m v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng $4.200. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang h\u00e1o h\u1ee9c ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p (NFP) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong th\u00e1ng 9, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i ch\u00ednh ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc b\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng M\u1ef9 quan tr\u1ecdng s\u1eafp t\u1edbi, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1, dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong ph\u1ea1m vi $4.200-$4.100 cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0ng th\u1ecfi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i v\u1eadt l\u1ed9n gi\u1eefa r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t do y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea9y l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gi\u1ea3m v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn l\u1ea1c quan g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y t\u1eeb hai nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>\n<p>Kho\u1ea3n tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m chu\u1ea9n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2002 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, t\u1ea1i 5,344%, v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 5,25%.<\/p>\n<p>T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u00ecm n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro (EUR) \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 17 th\u00e1ng so v\u1edbi s\u00e1u \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf m\u1ecdi n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n 25%, gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 70% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, theo C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group. Vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Fed theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u00f4n h\u00f2a n\u00e0y \u0111ang gi\u00fap gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u NFP h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 s\u1eafp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi tham gia v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng th\u00eam kho\u1ea3ng 90.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9, sau m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng \u1ea5n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00e0 162.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u1ec9 t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u NFP c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 sai l\u1ec7ch, v\u00ec con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb bi\u1ebfn d\u1ea1ng do c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 theo m\u00f9a nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c tuy\u1ec3n d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7,...<\/p>\n<p>Ngo\u00e0i ra, v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t dai d\u1eb3ng, Thu nh\u1eadp b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n gi\u1edd c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u1ec7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u1ec1n l\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u00f3 t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c ho\u1eb7c ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n<p>Do \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o hai k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u NFP.<\/p>\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft, tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1: N\u1ebfu s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi tham gia v\u00e0o l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng (NFP) v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 100.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi, v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 4,1% v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e0 0,3% ho\u1eb7c cao h\u01a1n, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1i kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 kho b\u1ea1c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>K\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u00edch c\u1ef1c: Nh\u01b0ng n\u1ebfu s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng tham gia v\u00e0o h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c thi\u1ec7n gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 50.000 ng\u01b0\u1eddi, t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 th\u1ea5t nghi\u1ec7p s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c 4,2%, v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng di\u1ec5n ra, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24305\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/gold-chart-2026-10-02.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Trong bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n XAU\/USD giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.172,49, duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi v\u1eabn \u1edf d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.327,30, \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.279,39 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4.534,92. S\u1ef1 t\u1eadp trung c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh n\u00e0y tr\u00ean gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi cho th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng v\u1eabn \u0111ang b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m sau \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, trong khi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 40 cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c qu\u00e1 b\u00e1n c\u1ef1c \u0111oan.<\/p>\n<p>\u1ede ph\u00eda b\u00ean ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c n\u1eb1m \u1edf v\u00f9ng \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 g\u1ea7n $4.172, v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c s\u00e0n c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1ed1c l\u00ean xung quanh $3.999. \u1ede ph\u00eda tr\u00ean, ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4.279, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4.327, trong khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y t\u1ea1i $4.535 t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n cao h\u01a1n c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold returns to red near $4,150 on NFP Friday, confined within this week\u2019s range. US Dollar sits at 17-month highs as elevated Treasury yields offset the Fed\u2019s dovish repricing. Gold keeps its struggle below $4,200 amid a daily bearish RSI, while $4,100 holds. Gold\u00a0has returned to the red zone in Asia on Friday after failing &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-478-20261002\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;US Nonfarm Payrolls holds the key to XAU\/USD\u2019s next big move&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24304","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24304"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24304\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24306,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24304\/revisions\/24306"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24304"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24304"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24304"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}