{"id":24113,"date":"2026-07-30T05:23:57","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T05:23:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24113"},"modified":"2026-07-30T05:23:57","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T05:23:57","slug":"daily-commentary-442","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/daily-commentary-442-20260730\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u7f8e\u4f0a\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u5ea6\u5347\u7ea7\u4e4b\u9645\uff0cXAU\/USD\u5c06\u76ee\u5149\u6295\u5411$4,000\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fdGDP\u6570\u636e"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\" style=\"color: #f40307;\">\n<li><strong>\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u8bae\u5f15\u53d1\u5e02\u573a\u6ce2\u52a8\u540e\uff0c\u91d1\u4ef7\u5728$4,100\u4e0a\u65b9\u518d\u6b21\u906d\u9047\u963b\u529b\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4f1a\u8bae\u540e\u7f8e\u5143\u6682\u505c\u8dcc\u52bf\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u53d1\u52a8\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u88ad\u51fb\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u82e5\u9ec4\u91d1\u65e5\u6536\u76d8\u4ef7\u6536\u4e8e$4,100\u4e0a\u65b9\uff0c\u4e14RSI\u6307\u6570\u9ad8\u4e8e50\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u626d\u8f6c\u5176\u770b\u8dcc\u8d70\u52bf\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u5468\u56db\u65e9\u76d8\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u518d\u5ea6\u8f6c\u8dcc\uff0c\u6b64\u524d\u5176\u672c\u5468\u7b2c\u56db\u6b21\u672a\u80fd\u7ef4\u6301\u5728$4,100\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u5468\u4e09\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u53d1\u52a8\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u7f8e\u5143\u56e0\u907f\u9669\u9700\u6c42\u590d\u82cf\u800c\u5438\u5f15\u9022\u4f4e\u4e70\u76d8\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u8fd1\u671f\u4e0a\u6da8\u52bf\u5934\u6b63\u5728\u51cf\u5f31\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u592e\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u5728X\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5b83\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u201c\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u6253\u51fb\u201d\uff0c\u88ad\u51fb\u4e86\u4f0a\u6717\u897f\u5357\u90e8\u57ce\u5e02\u963f\u5df4\u4e39\u4ee5\u53ca\u514b\u4ec0\u59c6\u5c9b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u65b9\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u6b64\u6b21\u6253\u51fb\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u56de\u5e94\u4f0a\u6717\u8bd5\u56fe\u653b\u51fb\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7f8e\u519b\u7684\u5bfc\u5f39\u88ad\u51fb\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u201c\u65e8\u5728\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u524a\u5f31\u4f0a\u6717\u53ca\u5176\u4ee3\u7406\u4eba\u5bf9\u7f8e\u519b\u3001\u5546\u8239\u4ee5\u53ca\u90bb\u8fd1\u6d77\u6e7e\u56fd\u5bb6\u6784\u6210\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u201d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u5728\u5468\u672b\u77ed\u6682\u505c\u706b\u540e\u518d\u5ea6\u7206\u53d1\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u4f46\u6cb9\u4ef7\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u54cd\u751a\u5fae\uff1b\u800c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4e70\u5bb6\u5219\u6301\u8c28\u614e\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u201c\u9ed1\u8272\u9ec4\u91d1\u201d\u524d\u65e5\u7ecf\u53866.50%\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\u540e\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u62c5\u5fe7\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5468\u4e09\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u5b9a\u5c06\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u7ef4\u6301\u57283.5%\u81f33.75%\u533a\u95f4\uff08\u7b26\u5408\u5e02\u573a\u666e\u904d\u9884\u671f\uff09\u540e\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e02\u573a\u5448\u73b0\u6da8\u8dcc\u4e92\u73b0\u7684\u8d70\u52bf\uff0c\u800c\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u4e00\u51b3\u5b9a\u76849\u6bd43\u6295\u7968\u7ed3\u679c\u5374\u51fa\u4eba\u610f\u6599\u5730\u504f\u9e70\u6d3e\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>FXS \u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u60c5\u7eea\u6307\u6570\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u79fb\u52a8 0.00 \u70b9\uff0c\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u9e70\u6d3e\u6c34\u5e73 128.64\uff0c\u8bc1\u5b9e\u8be5\u58f0\u660e\u4f7f\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u57fa\u8c03\u7262\u7262\u5904\u4e8e\u7d27\u7f29\u533a\u57df\u3002\u9ad8 FXS \u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u60c5\u7eea\u6307\u6570\u8bfb\u6570\u4e0e\u9ad8\u4e8e\u57fa\u7ebf\u7684 FXS Speechtracker \u5206\u6570\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5373\u4f7f\u6ca1\u6709\u7acb\u5373\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4ecd\u662f\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u9e70\u6d3e\u951a\u5b9a\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u51ef\u6587\u00b7\u6c83\u4ec0\uff08Kevin Warsh\uff09\u5bf9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u7f6e\u53ef\u5426\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u80fd\u5426\u7ee7\u7eed\u63a7\u5236\u957f\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u9884\u671f\u4ee5\u53ca9\u6708\u4efd\u4f1a\u8bae\u662f\u5426\u4ecd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u606f\u7684\u7591\u8651\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u829d\u52a0\u54e5\u5546\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u96c6\u56e2\uff08CME Group\uff09\u7684FedWatch\u5de5\u5177\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a89\u6708\u518d\u6b21\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4f30\u503c\u7ea6\u4e3a35%\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u524d\u4e00\u5929\u768424%\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e9b\u62c5\u5fe7\u4e25\u91cd\u62d6\u7d2f\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7f8e\u5143\u4ece\u8fd1\u4e09\u4e2a\u6708\u9ad8\u70b9\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u53cd\u5f39\u5f97\u4ee5\u7ef4\u6301\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u7684\u9886\u5148\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u653f\u7b56\u524d\u666f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u53d1\u5c55\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u3001\u7f8e\u5143\u8d70\u52bf\u548c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>2026\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6309\u5e74\u7387\u8ba1\u7b97\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u589e\u957f2.1%\uff0c\u589e\u901f\u4e0e\u4e0a\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u6301\u5e73\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fdGDP\u62a5\u544a\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u8fd8\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u6551\u6d4e\u91d1\u7533\u8bf7\u6570\u636e\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e74\u5ea6\u6838\u5fc3\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\uff08PCE\uff09\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u6570\u636e\u3002.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-24114\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/gold-chart-2026-07-30.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>\u5728\u65e5\u7ebf\u56fe\u4e0a\uff0cXAU\/USD \u62a5 $4,053.13\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u73b0\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u6240\u6709\u4e3b\u8981\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\uff08SMA\uff09\u4e0b\u65b9\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u4ecd\u5448\u770b\u8dcc\u6001\u52bf\u3002 \u4f4d\u4e8e$4,073.46\u768421\u65e5\u7b80\u5355\u79fb\u52a8\u5e73\u5747\u7ebf\uff08SMA\uff09\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u8fd1\u671f\u4e0a\u65b9\u963b\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u4f4d\u4e8e$4,193.29\u3001 $4,435.77\u548c$4,490.68\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u4e0a\u884c\u963b\u529b\u3002\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570\uff0814\uff09\u4f4d\u4e8e46.00\uff0c\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u4e2d\u6027\u533a\u57df\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u4e0b\u884c\u52a8\u80fd\u8f83\u4e3a\u6e29\u548c\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5904\u4e8e\u660e\u663e\u7684\u8d85\u5356\u72b6\u6001\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u521d\u6b65\u963b\u529b\u4f4d\u4f4d\u4e8e21\u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u9644\u8fd1\uff08\u7ea6$4,073\uff09\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u662f50\u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u9644\u8fd1\uff08\u7ea6$4,193\uff09\u3002 \u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f4d\u4e8e\u7ea6$4,436\u7684100\u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u548c\u63a5\u8fd1$4,491\u7684200\u65e5\u5747\u7ebf\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u5bc6\u96c6\u7684\u4e2d\u671f\u963b\u529b\u5e26\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u9700\u91cd\u65b0\u7ad9\u4e0a\u8be5\u533a\u57df\u624d\u80fd\u626d\u8f6c\u6280\u672f\u9762\u8d70\u52bf\u3002 \u7531\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u4e2d\u6ca1\u6709\u660e\u786e\u7684\u8fd1\u671f\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u5bf9\u8fd1\u671f\u4f4e\u70b9\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u6d4b\u8bd5\u90fd\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u52bf\u53d7\u52a8\u91cf\u548c\u8ba2\u5355\u6d41\u9a71\u52a8\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u51fa\u73b0\u65b0\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u5e95\u90e8\u3002.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold faces rejection once again above $4,100 in the aftermath of the Fed verdict-led volatility. The US Dollar pauses post-FOMC sell-off as the US launches fresh strikes on Iran. A daily closing above $4,100 and the RSI above 50 are needed to negate Gold\u2019s bearish outlook. Gold\u00a0is back in the red early Thursday, after failing &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/daily-commentary-442-20260730\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u201cXAU\/USD eyes $4,000 and US GDP amid fresh US-Iran tensions\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24113","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24113"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24113\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24116,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24113\/revisions\/24116"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24113"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24113"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24113"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}