{"id":24291,"date":"2026-09-29T07:38:45","date_gmt":"2026-09-29T07:38:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24291"},"modified":"2026-09-29T07:38:45","modified_gmt":"2026-09-29T07:38:45","slug":"daily-commentary-475","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/daily-commentary-475-20260929\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD\u5728\u7f8e\u5c31\u4e1a\u6570\u636e\u516c\u5e03\u524d\u51fa\u73b0\u6b7b\u732b\u53cd\u5f39"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul style=\"color:#f40307\" class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\">\n<li><strong>\u5468\u4e8c\u65e9\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u8df3\u51fa\u516b\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u89e6\u53ca $4,110\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\uff08JOLTS\uff09\u516c\u5e03\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u7f8e\u5143\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u540c\u6b65\u8d70\u5f3a\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\u4f9d\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u786e\u8ba4\u4e86\u4e0b\u8dcc\u6954\u5f62\u5f62\u6001\u7684\u7834\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u6bcf\u65e5RSI\u6307\u6807\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u770b\u8dcc\u72b6\u6001\u3002.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u91d1\u4ef7\u4f01\u56fe\u4ece\u5468\u4e00\u521b\u4e0b\u76848\u5468\u4f4e\u70b9 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4%\u3002\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4e3a\u4e86\u5f25\u8865\u503a\u5238\u548c\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u4e8f\u635f\uff0c\u7eb7\u7eb7\u629b\u552e\u9ec4\u91d1\u671f\u8d27\u5934\u5bf8\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e00\u5f3a\u52bf\u91d1\u5c5e\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u6765\u81ea\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u5907\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08Fed\uff09\u5c06\u4e8e10\u6708\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u963b\u529b\uff0c\u8fd9\u63d0\u632f\u4e86\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5e76\u4e25\u91cd\u6253\u51fb\u4e86\u9ec4\u91d1\u7b49\u907f\u9669\u8d44\u4ea7\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e CME Group \u7684 FedWatch \u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u8ba1 10 \u6708\u5c06\u52a0\u606f 70% \u6b21\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u4f0a\u6717\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u50f5\u5c40\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u518d\u6b21\u5a01\u80c1\u5bf9\u4f0a\u6717\u53d1\u52a8\u6253\u51fb\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4ee4\u5168\u7403\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u503a\u6536\u76ca\u7387\uff0c\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u7ed9\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u4e00\u5927\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u5468\u672b\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7\u00b7\u7279\u6717\u666e\u62d2\u7edd\u4e86\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u505c\u706b\u63d0\u8bae\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u957f\u963f\u5df4\u65af\u00b7\u963f\u62c9\u5947\u5468\u4e00\u4ecd\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5fb7\u9ed1\u5170\u5df2\u4e0e\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u7684\u8c03\u89e3\u4eba\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63d0\u8bae\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u5c06\u5176\u63d0\u4ea4\u7ed9\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u7559\u4e0b\u4e86\u8ba9\u540e\u8005\u51b3\u5b9a\u662f\u5426\u9009\u62e9\u534f\u8bae\u6216\u548c\u5e73\u7684\u6743\u529b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u9677\u5165\u50f5\u5c40\u3001\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u98d9\u5347\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u52a0\u606f\u9884\u671f\u52a0\u5267\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u5468\u4e94\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u5927\u5e45\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e76\u6291\u5236\u4eca\u5e74\u81f3\u5c11\u518d\u52a0\u606f\u4e24\u6b21\u7684\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u4efb\u4f55\u590d\u82cf\u90fd\u5f88\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u629b\u552e\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4ecd\u5c06\u5173\u6ce8\u5373\u5c06\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u7f8e\u56fdJOLTS\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7531\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u6f14\u8bb2\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63d0\u632f\u9ec4\u91d1\u4ef7\u683c\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u5e93\u514b\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\u65f6\u8bed\u6c14\u7565\u663e\u5f3a\u52bf\uff0c\u51767\/10 FXS Speechtracker\u8bc4\u5206\u4ec5\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e6.9\/10\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff0c\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u548c\u4e2d\u4e1c\u51b2\u7a81\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e93\u514b\u627f\u8ba4\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u529b\u5c06\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u5e74\u5e26\u6765\u9002\u5ea6\u7684\u901a\u7f29\u6548\u5e94\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u5f3a\u8c03\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6536\u76ca\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53ca\u65f6\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u62b5\u6d88\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5177\u5907\u826f\u597d\u6761\u4ef6\u80fd\u591f\u5438\u6536\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u52a0\u606f\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6682\u65f6\u62ac\u5347\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u4e0d\u91cd\u65b0\u5f15\u53d1\u901a\u80c0\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5b9e\u65bd\u964d\u606f\u7684\u4f59\u5730\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5728\u672a\u6765\u52a0\u606f\u6570\u989d\u548c\u5e45\u5ea6\u65b9\u9762\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u6027\u63aa\u8f9e\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u6570\u636e\u5141\u8bb8\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4ecd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08Fed\uff09\u60c5\u7eea\u6307\u6570\u4e0b\u8dcc0.63\u70b9\u81f3146.89\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6f14\u8bb2\u8bed\u6c14\u504f\u5f3a\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u9e70\u6d3e\u6001\u5ea6\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u4ecd\u7565\u6709\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u6781\u5ea6\u9e70\u6d3e\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u4e2d\u6027\u6c34\u5e73\u7684100\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8c03\u6574\u8868\u660e\u5e02\u573a\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5e93\u514b\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u53ea\u662f\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u539f\u672c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5341\u5206\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u5730\u52a0\u5267\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6536\u7d27\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-29-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" class=\"wp-image-24292\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-29-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-29-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-29-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-29-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-29-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/gold-chart-2026-09-29.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>\u5728\u65e5\u7ebf\u4e0a\uff0cXAU\/USD\u73b0\u4ef7\u4e3a $4,135.00\uff0c\u7ef4\u6301\u572821\u5929\u300150\u5929\u548c100\u5929\u5747\u7ebf\uff08SMA\uff09\u4e0b\u65b9\uff0c\u8be5\u6c34\u5e73\u4f4d\u4e8e\u7ea6 $4,290\u548c $4,330\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u8fd1\u671f\u504f\u5411\u770b\u7a7a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u91d1\u5c5e\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e200\u5929SMA\uff0c\u4f4d\u4e8e$4,539\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5f3a\u5316\u4e86\u4e2d\u671f\u770b\u7a7a\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u800c $4,519\u7684\u5411\u4e0b\u503e\u659c\u963b\u529b\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ebf\u5219\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u590d\u82cf\u4f01\u56fe\u3002\u76f8\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5f31\u6307\u6570\uff0814\uff09\u63a5\u8fd136\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u52a8\u80fd\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5b8c\u5168\u8d85\u5356\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u5356\u65b9\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u4f46\u5373\u65f6\u4e0b\u8dcc\u52bf\u5934\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u6291\u5236\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4ece\u8d1f\u9762\u56e0\u7d20\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u521d\u59cb\u652f\u6491\u4f4d\u4f4d\u4e8e\u4e0a\u5347\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ebf\u57fa\u70b9\u9644\u8fd1 $3,990\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u56de\u8c03\u6301\u7eed\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u4e70\u5165\u629b\u552e\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u4ece\u770b\u6da8\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u963b\u529b\u533a\u57df\u7531100\u5929\u5747\u7ebf\u4f4d $4,292\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c\u7d27\u968f\u5176\u540e\u7684\u662f50\u5929\u5747\u7ebf\u4f4d $4,321\u548c21\u5929\u5747\u7ebf\u4f4d $4,325\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u5bc6\u96c6\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u533a\uff0c\u9ec4\u91d1\u9700\u8981\u7a81\u7834\u8be5\u6c34\u5e73\u624d\u80fd\u7f13\u89e3\u4e0b\u8dcc\u538b\u529b\u3002\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6b64\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u6765\u81ea $4,519\u9ad8\u70b9\u548c200\u5929\u5747\u7ebf\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u4e0b\u884c\u963b\u529b\u8d8b\u52bf\u7ebf $4,539 \u6784\u6210\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u963b\u529b\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u8be5\u533a\u57df\u6301\u7eed\u7a81\u7834\u624d\u80fd\u6807\u5fd7\u7740\u66f4\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u725b\u5e02\u53cd\u8f6c\u3002.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold bounces off eight-week lows at $4,110 early Tuesday, awaiting US JOLTS jobs data. The US Dollar enters bullish consolidation alongside US Treasury yields; Fed rate-hike bets persist. Gold confirms a falling wedge breakdown, while daily RSI stays bearish. Gold\u00a0attempts a tepid recovery from an eight-week low of $4,110, reached on Monday, pausing the sharp &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/daily-commentary-475-20260929\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u201cXAU\/USD sees a dead cat bounce ahead of US jobs data\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24291","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24291","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24291"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24291\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24293,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24291\/revisions\/24293"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24291"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24291"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24291"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}